Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:59:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D1
0xd1f1…6601
crypto · 631 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$33 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$27 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$27
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses303 / 328
Open positions0
Markets (closed)631 / 631
History coverage14d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day83.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 631 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$36
7 days−$55
14 days−$37
30 days−$27
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$4 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$4 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$6 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +110%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +170%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $27 +$23 +84%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +108%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$11 +84%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$5 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$5 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +110%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +105%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +92%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$11 +81%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$6 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +105%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +119%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +110%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$27
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $7 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $8 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 407 -2.7% -11.9% 51% 50% -11.9%
≤30d 631 -1.7% -11.1% 48% 47% -10.4%
≤90d 631 -1.7% -11.1% 48% 47% -10.4%
all 631 -1.7% -11.1% 48% 47% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover83.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.1% 47% -10.4%
10% ← realistic here -19.6% 46% -19.0%
15% -27.3% 44% -26.8%
20% -34.5% 42% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1484 history records