trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -74.5% | -76.9% | 25% | 0% | -41.7% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -49.3% | -54.2% | 33% | 0% | -13.4% |
| ≤90d | 6 | -49.3% | -54.2% | 33% | 0% | -13.4% |
| all | 6 | -49.3% | -54.2% | 33% | 0% | -13.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -54.2% | 0% | -13.4% |
| 10% | -58.6% | 0% | -21.6% |
| 15% | -62.6% | 0% | -29.2% |
| 20% | -66.2% | 0% | -36.2% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 25 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 22 | $15 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 21 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 20 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $66 | +$6 | +9% |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time? | Jun 06 | $36 | −$2 | -7% |