Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:27:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D2
0xd20b…9010
crypto · 1405 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$261 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$264 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$264
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses873 / 628
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1501 / 1405
History coverage3d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day762.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1501 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$350
7 days−$264
14 days−$264
30 days−$264
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 58¢ 98¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+70%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 59¢ 86¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+45%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 96¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - February 6, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 6, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 7, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$881
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 11m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 11m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 15m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 16m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 16m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 18m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 22m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 31m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 32m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $0 32m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 33m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 45m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $0 45m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-14.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1501 -5.2% -14.2% 58% 41% -13.4%
≤30d 1501 -5.2% -14.2% 58% 41% -13.4%
≤90d 1501 -5.2% -14.2% 58% 41% -13.4%
all 1501 -5.2% -14.2% 58% 41% -13.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover762.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.2% 41% -13.4%
10% ← realistic here -22.4% 30% -21.7%
15% -29.9% 21% -29.3%
20% -36.8% 15% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.74 · official $6.85 · 3500 history records