Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:45:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D2
0xd21c…0bc7
other · 175 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$5 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Net worth$0
Realized+$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses175 / 0
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)175 / 175
History coverage82d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day2.1
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit39%
Chart Positions 0 History 175 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Austin Riley: Home Runs O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $4 $0 +0%
Alistair Johnston: 1+ assists Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Serbia 2 - 0 Denmark? Jun 09 $5 $0 +0%
Union Espanola vs. Union San Felipe: O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $5 $0 +0%
Will "Qween Jean" win Best Costume Design of a Musical at the 2026 Ton Jun 08 $5 $0 +0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 05 $5 $0 +0%
Will Brumbies win the 2026 Super Rugby Pacific Grand Final? Jun 05 $2 $0 +5%
Will Alexander Albon achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 Jun 05 $5 $0 +0%
Will Fernando Alonso achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 Jun 05 $5 $0 +0%
ITF Banja Luka: Nala Kovacic vs Ella Haavisto Jun 05 $5 $0 +0%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? Jun 05 $5 $0 +0%
Landry Shamet Jun 05 $5 $0 +1%
Victor Wembanyama Jun 05 $5 $0 +1%
Will Sharks qualify to Stage 2 at IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 05 $5 $0 +0%
Will AS FAR vs. Difaâ Hassani El Jadida end in a draw? Jun 04 $5 $0 +0%
Draxl vs. Gorzny: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 04 $4 $0 +0%
Map Handicap: SKillous (-1.5) vs Gerald (+1.5) Jun 04 $5 $0 +1%
Will Roberto Ramos advance from the CA-27 primary election? Jun 04 $5 $0 +0%
Game 4: Any Player Penta Kill? Jun 03 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: IR Tanger 0 - 2 Wydad Athletic Club? Jun 03 $5 $0 +0%
ITF Brasilia: Beatriz Guerra vs Carolina Xavier Laydner Jun 03 $5 $0 +0%
Dodig vs. Ouden: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 03 $5 $0 +0%
Dodig vs. Ouden: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 03 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 0 New Zealand? Jun 03 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Austria 1 - 3 Guatemala? Jun 03 $5 $0 +0%
Will Ulta Q1 comparable sales growth be between 4% and 5.5%? Jun 02 $5 $0 +1%
Perugia: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Lorenzo Carboni Jun 02 $5 $0 +0%
Roland Garros WTA (Doubles): Dabrowski/Stefani vs Siegemund/Zvonareva Jun 02 $5 $0 +0%
Masarova vs. Martincova: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 02 $5 $0 +0%
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill? Jun 02 $5 $0 +1%
Exact Score: Real Zaragoza 2 - 1 Málaga CF? Jun 01 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Cabo Verde 2 - 1 Serbia? Jun 01 $5 $0 +0%
Sloboda vs. Baena: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 01 $5 $0 +2%
Game 1: Ends in Daytime? May 31 $5 $0 +0%
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Draw at halftime? May 31 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Grêmio FBPA 2 - 1 SC Corinthians Paulista? May 31 $5 $0 +0%
Coritiba FBC leading at halftime? May 31 $5 $0 +0%
Spread: CF Universidad de Chile (-1.5) May 31 $5 $0 +0%
First Blood in Game 1? May 30 $5 $0 +0%
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Mali vs Sierra Leone May 30 $5 $0 +0%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? May 30 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo 2 - 2 Club Guabirá? May 30 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Fredrikstad FK 2 - 0 IK Start? May 30 $5 $0 +0%
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 11.5 Total Corners May 24 $5 $0 +1%
Will Dylan Hancock win Tie Down Roping at The American Rodeo 2026 Cham May 24 $5 $0 +1%
Will Shelby Boisjoli-Meged win Breakaway Roping at The American Rodeo May 24 $5 $0 +1%
Will Daiki Yamashita as Izuku Midoriya (My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON) May 23 $5 $0 +1%
Exact Score: Fujieda MYFC 3 - 3 Iwaki FC? May 23 $5 $0 +0%
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill? May 23 $5 $0 +0%
T20 Blast: Middlesex vs Kent - Team Top Batter Middlesex Winner May 23 $5 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 61% +$4
sports 34% +$1
weather 2% $0
crypto 2% $0
world 1% $0
politics 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Austin Riley: Home Runs O/U 1.5 BUY Under 100¢ $4 1h
Alistair Johnston: 1+ assists BUY No 100¢ $5 7h
Exact Score: Serbia 2 - 0 Denmark? BUY No 100¢ $5 3d
Union Espanola vs. Union San Felipe: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 100¢ $5 4d
Will "Qween Jean" win Best Costume Design of a Musical at the 2026 Ton BUY Yes 100¢ $5 5d
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 7d
Will Brumbies win the 2026 Super Rugby Pacific Grand Final? BUY No 95¢ $2 7d
Will Fernando Alonso achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 BUY No 100¢ $5 7d
Will Alexander Albon achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 BUY No 100¢ $5 7d
ITF Banja Luka: Nala Kovacic vs Ella Haavisto BUY Ella Haavisto 100¢ $5 7d
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? BUY Yes 100¢ $5 7d
Landry Shamet BUY No 99¢ $5 8d
Victor Wembanyama BUY No 99¢ $5 8d
Will Sharks qualify to Stage 2 at IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 100¢ $5 8d
Will AS FAR vs. Difaâ Hassani El Jadida end in a draw? BUY No 100¢ $5 8d
Draxl vs. Gorzny: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 100¢ $4 8d
Map Handicap: SKillous (-1.5) vs Gerald (+1.5) BUY SKillous 99¢ $5 8d
Will Roberto Ramos advance from the CA-27 primary election? BUY No 100¢ $5 9d
Game 4: Any Player Penta Kill? BUY No 100¢ $5 9d
Exact Score: IR Tanger 0 - 2 Wydad Athletic Club? BUY No 100¢ $5 9d
ITF Brasilia: Beatriz Guerra vs Carolina Xavier Laydner BUY Beatriz Guerra 100¢ $5 9d
Dodig vs. Ouden: Match O/U 22.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 9d
Dodig vs. Ouden: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 9d
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 0 New Zealand? BUY No 100¢ $5 10d
Exact Score: Austria 1 - 3 Guatemala? BUY No 100¢ $5 10d
Will Ulta Q1 comparable sales growth be between 4% and 5.5%? BUY Yes 99¢ $5 10d
Perugia: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Lorenzo Carboni BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 100¢ $5 10d
Roland Garros WTA (Doubles): Dabrowski/Stefani vs Siegemund/Zvonareva BUY Dabrowski/Stefani 100¢ $5 10d
Masarova vs. Martincova: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 10d
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill? BUY No 99¢ $5 11d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-9.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 65 +0.4% -9.2% 100% 0% -9.2%
≤90d 175 +0.6% -9.0% 100% 2% -9.0%
all 175 +0.6% -9.0% 100% 2% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.0% 2% -9.0%
10% -17.7% 0% -17.7%
15% -25.7% 0% -25.7%
20% -33.0% 0% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 354 history records