trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 18¢ | 100¢ | $2 | $11 | +$9 (+456%) |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 51¢ | 50¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 48¢ | 48¢ | $3 | $3 | −$0 (-1%) |
| LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI | T1 | 19¢ | 38¢ | $1 | $2 | +$1 (+97%) |
| Games Total: O/U 3.5 | Over | 65¢ | 100¢ | $1 | $2 | +$1 (+54%) |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | No | 6¢ | 6¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-6%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13¢ | 10¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-25%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $10 | +$2 | +22% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $5 | +$3 | +56% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $2 | +$9 | +442% |
| LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $5 | +$5 | +104% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $5 | +$13 | +248% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $5 | +$2 | +41% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | Apr 09 | $1 | +$1 | +51% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI | BUY T1 | 19¢ | $1 | 1h |
| Games Total: O/U 3.5 | BUY Over | 65¢ | $1 | 1h |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | BUY No | 6¢ | $1 | 2h |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | BUY Yes | 51¢ | $5 | 2h |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | BUY Yes | 48¢ | $3 | 2h |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | BUY Yes | 18¢ | $2 | 4h |
| LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI | BUY KT Rolster | 11¢ | $1 | 26h |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | BUY Yes | 63¢ | $5 | 27h |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | BUY Yes | 58¢ | $5 | 29h |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | BUY Yes | 28¢ | $5 | 2d |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY Yes | 48¢ | $5 | 2d |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | BUY Yes | 32¢ | $2 | 2d |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | BUY Yes | 70¢ | $5 | 2d |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY Yes | 81¢ | $10 | 3d |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | BUY Yes | 66¢ | $1 | 78d |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY Yes | 13¢ | $1 | 80d |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | +69.6% | +53.4% | 67% | 67% | +48.5% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +69.6% | +53.4% | 67% | 67% | +48.5% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +67.8% | +51.8% | 70% | 70% | +48.2% |
| all | 10 | +67.8% | +51.8% | 70% | 70% | +48.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +51.8% | 70% | +48.2% |
| 10% | +37.3% | 60% | +34.1% |
| 15% | +24.0% | 60% | +21.1% |
| 20% | +11.8% | 50% | +9.2% |