Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:03:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D2
0xd22c…efdf
crypto · 44 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,074 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,116 · open +$30
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$179
Realized−$1,116
Unrealized+$30
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses99 / 175
Whale WR (big bets)44%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)274 / 44
History coverage1d
Avg bet$715
Trades / day3379.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 274 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,116
7 days−$1,116
14 days−$1,116
30 days−$1,116
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 89¢ 60¢ $145 $97 −$48 (-33%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 25¢ 40¢ $51 $81 +$30 (+59%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Down 36¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+181%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $154 $0 −$154 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $163 $0 −$163 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $116 $0 −$116 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $67 $0 −$67 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $94 $0 −$94 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 1, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $199 $0 −$199 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $162 $0 −$162 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $132 $0 −$132 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $192 $0 −$192 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $121 $0 −$121 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $79 $0 −$79 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$77 +26436%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $154 −$154 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $163 −$282 -173%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $116 −$116 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$257 +516%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $67 −$67 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$397 +22064%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$171 +627%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $94 −$34 -36%
Solana Up or Down - April 1, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $55 −$37 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $199 −$199 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $162 −$162 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $132 −$316 -240%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $192 −$192 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $121 −$283 -235%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $79 −$79 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$93 +183%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $42 −$42 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $56 −$56 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 30, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$113 -1534%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $34 −$139 -406%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$87 -404%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $83 −$83 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$116 +803%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $72 −$99 -137%
Solana Up or Down - March 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $48 −$33 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $179 −$179 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$66 -288%
XRP Up or Down - March 31, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$134 -30747%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $299 −$312 -104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $87 −$26 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$171 +2399%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$416 +6449%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $43 +$225 +521%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $124 −$131 -106%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $78 −$78 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $96 −$96 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $181 −$182 -101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $135 −$159 -118%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$290
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $7 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $11 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $10 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $8 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $8 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $9 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $47 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $7 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $7 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $18 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $9 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $21 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $31 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $31 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 2m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)+195.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 274 +226.1% +195.0% 36% 32% -11.2%
≤30d 274 +226.1% +195.0% 36% 32% -11.2%
≤90d 274 +226.1% +195.0% 36% 32% -11.2%
all 274 +226.1% +195.0% 36% 32% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3379.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +195.0% 32% -11.2%
10% ← realistic here +166.8% 31% -19.7%
15% +141.0% 30% -27.5%
20% +117.4% 30% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $178.80 · official $186.24 · 3500 history records