Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:57:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D2
0xd256…641e
crypto · 116 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$163 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$26 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$26
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses73 / 43
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)116 / 116
History coverage2d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day89.5
Drawdown90%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 116 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$26
7 days+$26
14 days+$26
30 days+$26
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs FUT Esports 13¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$22 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$8 +31%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff Jun 14 $10 −$1 -6%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $50 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 14? Jun 14 $10 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$20 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $51 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET Jun 14 $29 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$16 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$5 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$24 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$5 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$6 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$6 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$15 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$20 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$16 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $19 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $51 +$14 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $51 +$10 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $75 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$22 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$9 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$1 +3%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$7 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $51 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $76 −$75 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $76 +$18 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$8 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$6 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$9 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$5 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$20 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$8 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$17 +67%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% +$30
sports 4% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $26 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Down 24¢ $4 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $26 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $25 13m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff SELL FUT Esports 36¢ $0 14m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL TheMongolz 66¢ $10 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Up 77¢ $25 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $25 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 14? SELL Up 79¢ $9 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 15¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $26 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $31 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $25 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $18 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $26 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET SELL Down 57¢ $24 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET SELL Up 21¢ $10 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $26 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $29 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $25 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $26 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $31 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $26 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET SELL Down 65¢ $3 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $26 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Up 73¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $26 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-12.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 116 -2.9% -12.2% 63% 53% -8.7%
≤30d 116 -2.9% -12.2% 63% 53% -8.7%
≤90d 116 -2.9% -12.2% 63% 53% -8.7%
all 116 -2.9% -12.2% 63% 53% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover89.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.2% 53% -8.7%
10% ← realistic here -20.6% 34% -17.5%
15% -28.2% 19% -25.5%
20% -35.3% 13% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $22.10 · 293 history records