Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:33:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D2
0xd257…c66c
crypto · 450 markets active 0h ago
3.0score
+$2,156 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,156 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$2,156
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses222 / 228
Whale WR (big bets)85%
Est. fees paid−$16
Open positions0
Markets (closed)450 / 450
History coverage17d
Avg bet$180
Trades / day51.9
Drawdown65%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 450 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$804
7 days+$2,298
14 days+$1,952
30 days+$2,156
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner paiN Gaming 38¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$20 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $2,302 +$22 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $2,120 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $2,202 +$29 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $84 +$133 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $1,904 +$49 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$9 +163%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $1,974 +$83 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$16 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$28 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $1,808 +$114 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $1,803 +$40 +2%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $1,727 +$26 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $31 +$7 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $1,733 −$9 -0%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$11 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $11 +$27 +254%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $1,533 +$66 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $52 −$50 -97%
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $101 +$47 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $1,506 +$40 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$8 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$7 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $1,315 +$247 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 11 $155 −$150 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $72 −$70 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $74 −$5 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$7 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$4 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 11 $1,636 +$36 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$9 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$9 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$10 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 11 $1,612 +$12 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 10 $70 +$6 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$6 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 10 $1,401 +$18 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% +$2,305
sports 2% −$228
other 1% +$79
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $11 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2,302 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 86¢ $21 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $10 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,598 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $501 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2,202 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $73 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 74¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1,403 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $500 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Down 9¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,901 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $72 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1,587 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $221 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1,803 15h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winner BUY LOUD 4¢ $1 15h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winner BUY LOUD 15¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,701 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $34 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-16.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 253 -8.9% -17.6% 51% 39% -6.1%
≤30d 450 -7.3% -16.2% 49% 40% -7.1%
≤90d 450 -7.3% -16.2% 49% 40% -7.1%
all 450 -7.3% -16.2% 49% 40% -7.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover51.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.2% 40% -7.1%
10% ← realistic here -24.2% 35% -16.0%
15% -31.5% 32% -24.1%
20% -38.2% 29% -31.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1073 history records