Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:14:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D2
0xd265…6c42
crypto · 832 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$21 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$21 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$21
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses673 / 159
Open positions0
Markets (closed)832 / 832
History coverage35d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day29.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 0 History 832 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$19
7 days−$19
14 days−$19
30 days−$51
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$3 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$13 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $33 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$4 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$5 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$3 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $14 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$14 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$4 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$4 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$7 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $22 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$6 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$4 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$7 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$4 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET May 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET May 17 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET May 17 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET May 17 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET May 17 $3 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET May 17 $11 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET May 17 $11 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET May 17 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET May 17 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET May 17 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET May 17 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET May 17 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET May 17 $6 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET May 17 $9 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET May 17 $8 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$12
other 1% −$7
politics 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET SELL Down 16¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET SELL Down 28¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $12 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $22 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 35 -5.1% -14.2% 74% 46% -12.8%
≤30d 424 -1.8% -11.2% 82% 32% -12.8%
≤90d 832 -1.0% -10.4% 81% 31% -9.9%
all 832 -1.0% -10.4% 81% 31% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.4% 31% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -19.0% 20% -18.5%
15% -26.8% 12% -26.4%
20% -34.0% 8% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1745 history records