trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +15.4% | +4.4% | 100% | 33% | +3.7% |
| ≤30d | 3 | +15.4% | +4.4% | 100% | 33% | +3.7% |
| ≤90d | 3 | +15.4% | +4.4% | 100% | 33% | +3.7% |
| all | 8 | -15.7% | -23.7% | 62% | 25% | -17.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -23.7% | 25% | -17.4% |
| 10% | -31.0% | 12% | -25.3% |
| 15% | -37.7% | 0% | -32.5% |
| 20% | -43.8% | 0% | -39.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-06-27? | Yes | 86¢ | 86¢ | $35 | $35 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 27 | $33 | +$2 | +6% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 27 | $24 | +$8 | +34% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 27 | $23 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68 | Jan 31 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk's net worth be at least $670b on January 31? | Jan 31 | $16 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January? | Jan 31 | $14 | +$2 | +18% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week | Jan 31 | $21 | +$2 | +10% |
| Will xAI have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026? | Jan 30 | $14 | −$14 | -100% |