Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:22:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D2
0xd298…ab65
crypto · 1493 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,718 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,718 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,718
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses1315 / 178
Whale WR (big bets)90%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1493 / 1493
History coverage44d
Avg bet$68
Trades / day40.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1493 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$90
7 days−$246
14 days−$380
30 days−$1,413
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $96 $0 −$96 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $89 $0 −$89 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $738 $0 −$738 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $330 $0 −$330 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $740 −$738 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $549 +$96 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $700 +$43 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $440 −$440 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $977 +$62 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $948 +$30 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $760 +$89 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $643 +$68 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $415 +$47 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $701 +$44 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $651 +$49 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $411 +$43 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $572 +$35 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $341 +$35 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $218 +$22 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $298 +$19 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $476 +$20 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $339 +$38 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $430 +$19 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $299 +$21 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $264 +$36 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $301 +$9 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $301 +$11 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $124 +$6 +5%
Mexico leading at halftime? Jun 11 $100 +$2 +2%
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $100 +$8 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $220 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $301 +$12 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $194 +$16 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $287 +$7 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $201 +$8 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 11 $275 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $270 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $260 +$11 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $248 +$11 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $201 +$7 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $200 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $101 +$8 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $225 +$7 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $100 +$7 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 11 $100 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 11 $106 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $194 +$14 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $189 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $100 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 11 $201 +$12 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 11 $100 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 10 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 10 $100 +$7 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 10 $200 +$2 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,728
other 0% +$2
sports 0% +$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $8 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $30 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $200 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $501 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $549 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $97 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $603 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $96 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $344 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $296 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $681 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $396 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $551 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $296 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $464 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $415 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $96 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $303 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $100 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $145 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $201 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $99 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $402 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $199 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $98 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $101 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $253 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $201 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 153 +2.6% -7.1% 92% 19% -10.4%
≤30d 1028 -0.2% -9.7% 89% 24% -11.0%
≤90d 1493 -0.5% -10.0% 88% 27% -11.1%
all 1493 -0.5% -10.0% 88% 27% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover40.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.0% 27% -11.1%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 9% -19.6%
15% -26.5% 3% -27.3%
20% -33.7% 1% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records