Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:47:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D2
0xd2ac…e5fe
crypto · 95 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$39,225 +66%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$121,501 · open +$93
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Possible transfer/wash account
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$548
Realized−$121,501
Unrealized+$93
Win rate (resolved)13%
Wins / losses75 / 500
Whale WR (big bets)33%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)575 / 95
History coverage1d
Avg bet$623
Trades / day2430.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 575 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$121,501
7 days−$121,501
14 days−$121,501
30 days−$121,501
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Up 83¢ 100¢ $455 $548 +$93 (+21%)
Solana Up or Down - March 29, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $348 $0 −$348 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $123 $0 −$123 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $102 $0 −$102 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $315 $0 −$315 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $238 $0 −$238 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $96 $0 −$96 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $431 $0 −$431 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $1,015 $0 −$1,015 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $534 $0 −$534 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $315 $0 −$315 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $296 $0 −$296 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $94 $0 −$94 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $497 $0 −$497 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $77 $0 −$77 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $707 $0 −$707 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $808 $0 −$808 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $198 $0 −$198 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - March 29, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $348 −$348 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $123 −$123 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $102 −$102 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $315 −$315 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $238 −$238 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $96 −$96 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $431 −$431 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $1,015 −$1,015 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $534 −$534 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $315 −$315 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $296 −$296 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $61 −$61 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $94 −$94 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $497 −$497 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $77 −$77 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $707 −$707 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $300 −$300 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $198 −$198 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 22, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $65 −$65 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $477 −$477 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $1,244 −$1,244 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $654 −$654 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $161 −$161 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $1,222 −$1,222 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $34 −$34 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 7, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $58 −$58 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $373 −$373 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $69 −$69 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $784 −$784 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $73 −$73 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $434 −$434 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $46 −$46 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 29, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $251 −$251 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $63 −$63 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $367 −$367 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $154 −$154 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $260 −$260 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $76 −$76 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$8,868
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $207 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $12 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $237 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $78 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $4 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $37 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $24 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $29 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $16 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $10 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $6 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $6 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $11 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $10 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $14 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $12 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $7 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $15 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $14 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $0 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $8 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $4 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $4 30m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-83.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 575 -81.5% -83.2% 13% 13% -69.3%
≤30d 575 -81.5% -83.2% 13% 13% -69.3%
≤90d 575 -81.5% -83.2% 13% 13% -69.3%
all 575 -81.5% -83.2% 13% 13% -69.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2430.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -83.2% 13% -69.3%
10% ← realistic here -84.8% 10% -72.3%
15% -86.3% 5% -74.9%
20% -87.6% 1% -77.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $548.24 · official $548.24 (match) · 3500 history records