Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:32:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D2
0xd2b1…2c73
crypto · 1415 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,329 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,329 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,329
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses1287 / 500
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1787 / 1415
Avg bet$26
Trades / day294.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1787 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,336
7 days−$1,415
14 days−$1,329
30 days−$1,329
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$90
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $25 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $25 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $25 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $25 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $25 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $25 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $25 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $25 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $25 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $25 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $25 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $25 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $25 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $25 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $25 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $25 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $25 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $25 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $25 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-29.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1692 -23.6% -30.9% 71% 17% -13.3%
≤30d 1787 -21.8% -29.2% 72% 17% -12.8%
≤90d 1787 -21.8% -29.2% 72% 17% -12.8%
all 1787 -21.8% -29.2% 72% 17% -12.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover294.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -29.2% 17% -12.8%
10% ← realistic here -36.0% 2% -21.1%
15% -42.2% 0% -28.7%
20% -47.8% 0% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records