Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:09:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D2
0xd2c0…a68d
crypto · 238 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$18,588 -44%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,661 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,220
Realized−$1,661
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses193 / 43
Whale WR (big bets)86%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)236 / 238
History coverage33d
Avg bet$178
Trades / day99.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 2 History 236 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$903
7 days−$865
14 days−$1,333
30 days−$1,890
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $1,000 $998 −$2 (-0%)
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Yes 97¢ 96¢ $222 $221 −$1 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $181 +$14 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $40 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $107 +$82 +76%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $1,351 −$1,351 -100%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $62 −$62 -100%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $124 −$124 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $1,317 +$70 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $1,134 +$169 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $1,217 +$39 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $944 +$56 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $716 +$100 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $48 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $591 +$10 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $111 +$24 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $107 +$13 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $95 +$22 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $91 +$10 +11%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $71 +$22 +31%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $57 +$24 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 10 $35 +$10 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 10 $50 +$2 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +105%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET May 31 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET May 31 $26 −$26 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET May 31 $107 −$107 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET May 31 $161 −$161 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET May 31 $175 −$175 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET May 31 $157 +$8 +5%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET May 31 $40 +$3 +7%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 3 May 31 $486 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET May 31 $166 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET May 31 $167 +$7 +4%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET May 31 $160 +$5 +3%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET May 31 $160 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET May 31 $214 +$61 +28%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET May 31 $106 +$5 +5%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET May 31 $124 +$6 +5%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET May 31 $113 +$22 +19%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET May 31 $107 +$13 +12%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET May 31 $99 +$20 +20%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET May 31 $94 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET May 31 $96 +$2 +2%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET May 30 $80 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET May 30 $116 +$5 +4%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET May 29 $110 +$6 +6%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET May 29 $101 +$22 +22%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET May 28 $103 +$12 +12%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET May 28 $100 +$3 +3%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET May 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET May 28 $37 −$37 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 92% −$1,181
other 4% −$632
tech 3% −$1
world 1% +$129
sports 0% +$22
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $50 25m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $50 25m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $10 25m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $10 25m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $10 25m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $10 25m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $10 25m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $10 25m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $10 25m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $10 25m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $10 32m
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June BUY Yes 97¢ $15 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $52 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $52 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 49m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 94¢ $1,002 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 54m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 54m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $2 55m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 55m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 55m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $2 55m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $2 55m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $2 55m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 55m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 55m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-13.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 +5.4% -4.7% 86% 50% -18.8%
≤30d 170 -5.1% -14.1% 81% 35% -15.9%
≤90d 236 -4.2% -13.4% 82% 35% -13.2%
all 236 -4.2% -13.4% 82% 35% -13.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover99.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.4% 35% -13.2%
10% ← realistic here -21.6% 17% -21.5%
15% -29.2% 7% -29.1%
20% -36.2% 4% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,219.86 · official $1,219.86 (match) · 3500 history records