Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:13:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D2
0xd2c5…6483
sports · 328 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
+$730 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$855 · open −$124
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$475
Realized+$855
Unrealized−$124
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses209 / 109
Est. fees paid−$201
Open positions10
Markets (closed)318 / 328
History coverage52d
Avg bet$58
Trades / day28.2
Drawdown91%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 10 History 318 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$309
7 days+$600
14 days+$482
30 days+$854
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Eintracht Spandau 54¢ 62¢ $138 $160 +$22 (+16%)
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Karmine Corp Blue 83¢ 90¢ $100 $108 +$8 (+8%)
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) Alex Pereira 50¢ 50¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Karmine Corp Blue 67¢ 100¢ $20 $30 +$10 (+49%)
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card) Sean OMalley 79¢ 78¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) Josh Hokit 79¢ 78¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Karmine Corp Blue 71¢ 68¢ $19 $18 −$1 (-4%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Eintracht Spandau 53¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner G2 NORD 65¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Anubis Gaming 48¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner JD Gaming 55¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs LOS 75¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Weibo Gaming 44¢ 0¢ $77 $0 −$77 (-100%)
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner FlyQuest 39¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Anyones Legend 77¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner GIANTX 42¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 28¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 4 Winner JD Gaming 52¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 Winner LOS 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 Hanwha Life Esports Challengers 65¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner G2 Esports 61¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
LoL: Shifters vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner Team Vitality 74¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 29¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner Nongshim Red Force 59¢ 0¢ $105 $0 −$105 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Gen.G 61¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 12 $77 +$27 +36%
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca Jun 12 $70 −$1 -2%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $58 +$9 +16%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $16 +$9 +54%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Jun 12 $101 +$31 +30%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $59 +$36 +61%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $20 +$34 +165%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $201 +$40 +20%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 11 $128 +$44 +35%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $67 +$36 +54%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 11 $51 −$50 -99%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $61 +$39 +64%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs PCIFIC - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $50 +$11 +21%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $91 +$45 +49%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $71 +$33 +47%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $29 +$18 +62%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $38 −$38 -100%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 11 $64 −$64 -100%
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $21 +$3 +13%
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 11 $20 +$1 +7%
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $32 +$11 +34%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $15 −$15 -98%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs PCIFIC (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 11 $60 $0 -1%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 10 $59 +$28 +47%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $40 +$16 +41%
LoL: Galions vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $40 +$6 +16%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $64 +$37 +58%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $10 −$10 -98%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 10 $27 +$10 +38%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $20 +$23 +114%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $30 −$30 -99%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $30 −$1 -2%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Verdant - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $47 +$23 +50%
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs BOMBA Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $42 −$42 -98%
LoL: FN Esports vs Verdant (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage Jun 09 $30 −$2 -7%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $29 +$21 +71%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Verdant (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage Jun 08 $35 +$10 +27%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $3 −$3 -98%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 08 $30 −$30 -99%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $62 +$18 +29%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $42 +$33 +79%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $59 +$41 +68%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $19 +$51 +262%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $32 +$23 +70%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $30 +$24 +79%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $46 +$49 +106%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $43 +$50 +116%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $18 +$25 +134%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $41 −$40 -99%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $15 −$15 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% +$618
other 2% +$113
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 38¢ $4 12m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 39¢ $2 12m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 40¢ $4 12m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 41¢ $2 12m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 42¢ $2 12m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 42¢ $2 14m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 43¢ $2 14m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 44¢ $2 14m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 44¢ $4 14m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 45¢ $2 14m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 46¢ $5 14m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 48¢ $0 14m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 48¢ $4 14m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 49¢ $2 14m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 50¢ $5 15m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 51¢ $3 15m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 52¢ $1 15m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 52¢ $4 15m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 53¢ $3 15m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 54¢ $3 15m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 54¢ $2 15m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 55¢ $3 16m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 56¢ $6 16m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 57¢ $3 16m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 58¢ $6 16m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 59¢ $3 16m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 60¢ $6 16m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 61¢ $3 18m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 62¢ $6 18m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 63¢ $3 18m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +64%
net ROI/market (all)-4.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 54 +19.9% +8.5% 70% 69% +12.3%
≤30d 209 +6.3% -3.8% 65% 63% -1.9%
≤90d 318 +5.6% -4.5% 66% 64% -5.1%
all 318 +5.6% -4.5% 66% 64% -5.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover28.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.5% 64% -5.1%
10% ← realistic here -13.6% 52% -14.2%
15% -22.0% 38% -22.5%
20% -29.6% 27% -30.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $474.61 · official $474.61 (match) · 1547 history records