Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T08:08:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
D2 0xd2e2…a8a9 crypto 1755 markets active 0h ago coverage 6d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 6d only
✗ bot/MM pace (283 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$533 (-6%) realized −$533 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate98%1728W / 41L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day282.6pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit82%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 82% +$8
other 18% −$8
sports 0% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (283 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1769 -0.9% -10.3% 98% 0% -10.1%
≤30d 1769 -0.9% -10.3% 98% 0% -10.1%
≤90d 1769 -0.9% -10.3% 98% 0% -10.1%
all 1769 -0.9% -10.3% 98% 0% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover282.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.3% 0% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -18.9% 0% -18.7%
15% -26.7% 0% -26.5%
20% -33.9% 0% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$3 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.62 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

6d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$533
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1728 / 41
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1769 / 1755
History coverage6d ⚠
Avg bet$5
Trades / day282.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit82%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1769 Trades
no open positions (31 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 24m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 25m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 43m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 54m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 5h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 6h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records