Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:39:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D2
0xd2e9…3074
crypto · 108 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$484 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$484 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$484
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses37 / 81
Open positions0
Markets (closed)118 / 108
History coverage3d
Avg bet$103
Trades / day1153.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 118 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$286
7 days−$484
14 days−$484
30 days−$484
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Jun 12 $17 −$14 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $66 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $33 −$10 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $33 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $97 −$14 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $88 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $73 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $77 −$26 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $54 −$3 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $55 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $69 −$6 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $55 −$4 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $82 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $33 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $86 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 10 $54 −$13 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 10 $11 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 10 $71 −$8 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 10 $19 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 10 $12 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 10 $107 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 10 $185 +$6 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 10 $22 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 10 $60 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 10 $119 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 10 $40 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 10 $168 −$5 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 10 $40 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $96 −$4 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 10 $210 −$29 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 10 $133 +$8 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 10 $61 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 10 $19 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 10 $157 +$11 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 10 $147 +$7 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 10 $52 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 10 $104 −$8 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 10 $30 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 10 $53 +$4 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$290
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $7 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $7 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $7 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $8 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $3 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $4 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $4 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $12 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $6 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-22.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 118 -14.6% -22.8% 31% 5% -13.4%
≤30d 118 -14.6% -22.8% 31% 5% -13.4%
≤90d 118 -14.6% -22.8% 31% 5% -13.4%
all 118 -14.6% -22.8% 31% 5% -13.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1153.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.8% 5% -13.4%
10% ← realistic here -30.2% 3% -21.7%
15% -36.9% 0% -29.2%
20% -43.1% 0% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records