trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | -36.4% | -42.4% | 20% | 20% | -47.8% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -36.4% | -42.4% | 20% | 20% | -47.8% |
| ≤90d | 23 | -63.3% | -66.8% | 13% | 13% | -50.3% |
| all | 23 | -63.3% | -66.8% | 13% | 13% | -50.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -66.8% | 13% | -50.3% |
| 10% | -69.9% | 9% | -55.1% |
| 15% | -72.8% | 9% | -59.4% |
| 20% | -75.5% | 4% | -63.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | Yes | 74¢ | 68¢ | $80 | $74 | −$6 (-7%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 15¢ | 20¢ | $50 | $66 | +$16 (+31%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 21¢ | 23¢ | $50 | $56 | +$6 (+12%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 29 | $51 | −$12 | -24% |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 29 | $34 | +$6 | +18% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 27 | $339 | −$332 | -98% |
| Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 27 | $102 | +$231 | +226% |
| Will Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 27 | $10 | −$4 | -37% |
| Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 26 | $543 | −$128 | -24% |
| Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 26 | $841 | −$398 | -47% |
| Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 25 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will New Zealand win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 24 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Panama win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 24 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | May 28 | $5 | −$5 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | May 28 | $3 | −$3 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET | May 28 | $15 | −$13 | -84% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET | May 28 | $9 | +$4 | +47% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | May 28 | $10 | −$10 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | May 28 | $26 | −$10 | -39% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | May 28 | $10 | −$5 | -48% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | May 28 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | May 28 | $2 | −$1 | -39% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET | May 28 | $16 | −$15 | -94% |
| Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 28 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 28 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Qatar win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 28 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |