Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:39:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D3
0xd301…f4b9
crypto · 366 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
+$1,451 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,020 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,020
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses265 / 101
Whale WR (big bets)93%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)366 / 366
History coverage15d
Avg bet$100
Trades / day74.2
Drawdown64%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 0 History 366 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$404
7 days+$836
14 days+$1,053
30 days+$1,020
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $444 $0 −$444 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $225 $0 −$225 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $89 $0 −$89 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $22 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET Jun 14 $235 +$76 +32%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $35 +$9 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $39 +$5 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$2 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $375 −$371 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET Jun 14 $166 +$11 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $88 +$32 +37%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$20 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $38 +$12 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $159 +$174 +109%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $35 +$15 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $35 +$15 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $262 +$138 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $340 −$340 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $182 +$51 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $19 +$14 +76%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$7 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $22 +$11 +48%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $22 +$11 +53%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $48 +$18 +37%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $95 +$37 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET Jun 14 $62 +$26 +41%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $74 −$30 -40%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $23 +$10 +43%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $28 +$5 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $1,759 +$17 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $1,392 −$1,359 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $118 −$52 -44%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $43 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $29 +$15 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $30 −$29 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $42 +$2 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $17 +$16 +91%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $1,195 +$61 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $144 +$10 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$3 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $65 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $278 +$85 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $1,681 +$398 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $1,293 +$27 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $408 +$25 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $1,468 +$32 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $57 +$9 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $33 −$32 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $28 −$28 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $31 +$2 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $21 +$12 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$14 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 90% +$405
other 10% +$615
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $3 15m
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $19 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $18 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $17 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $22 39m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 39m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 39m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 39m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $17 39m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $21 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $17 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $11 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $15 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $15 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $15 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $16 43m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $20 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $19 52m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $16 56m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $14 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $20 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $21 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $18 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $94 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $94 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $19 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $19 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $19 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $18 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $18 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-4.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 275 +7.8% -2.5% 75% 58% -7.2%
≤30d 366 +5.2% -4.8% 72% 56% -7.0%
≤90d 366 +5.2% -4.8% 72% 56% -7.0%
all 366 +5.2% -4.8% 72% 56% -7.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover74.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.8% 56% -7.0%
10% ← realistic here -13.9% 47% -15.9%
15% -22.2% 30% -24.0%
20% -29.8% 16% -31.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1397 history records