Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:21:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D3
0xd306…4320
crypto · 1206 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$253 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$253 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$253
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses624 / 584
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1208 / 1206
History coverage175d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day17.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit68%
Chart Positions 0 History 1208 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days+$6
14 days+$6
30 days−$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Vasteraas SK vs. AIK end in a draw? No 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will FK Zenit win on 2026-05-17? No 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-17? No 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-14? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-14? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$4 +296%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$4 +145%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$4 +208%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 59% −$172
sports 27% −$50
crypto 14% +$6
world 0% −$34
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $4 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $3 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-12.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 600 -0.6% -10.0% 47% 47% -9.2%
≤30d 621 -2.1% -11.4% 47% 46% -10.0%
≤90d 757 -3.1% -12.3% 46% 43% -10.1%
all 1208 -3.3% -12.5% 52% 36% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.5% 36% -11.5%
10% -20.9% 31% -20.0%
15% -28.5% 27% -27.7%
20% -35.5% 25% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records