Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:06:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D3
0xd31b…87ee
other · 245 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$91 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$91 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$91
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)4%
Wins / losses9 / 236
Whale WR (big bets)5%
Est. fees paid−$10
Open positions0
Markets (closed)245 / 245
History coverage131d
Avg bet$221
Trades / day9.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit60%
Chart Positions 0 History 245 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$16
14 days−$24
30 days−$35
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? Jun 12 $511 −$1 -0%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $418 −$1 -0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 12 $221 $0 -0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 12 $439 −$1 -0%
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $60 $0 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $387 $0 -0%
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? Jun 11 $136 $0 -0%
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? Jun 11 $248 $0 -0%
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 11 $125 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? Jun 11 $320 −$1 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? Jun 11 $275 $0 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $478 −$1 -0%
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 10 $578 −$1 -0%
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 09 $291 $0 -0%
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $687 −$1 -0%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $497 −$1 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 09 $829 −$1 -0%
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 09 $271 $0 -0%
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 08 $544 −$1 -0%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Jun 07 $429 −$1 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 07 $368 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 07 $127 $0 -0%
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 06 $62 $0 -0%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $288 $0 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $381 −$1 -0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 06 $219 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 06 $389 −$1 -0%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? Jun 05 $300 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Jun 05 $417 −$1 -0%
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 04 $192 $0 -0%
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 04 $265 −$1 -0%
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 03 $128 $0 -0%
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 03 $110 $0 -0%
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 03 $315 $0 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 02 $567 −$1 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 02 $616 −$1 -0%
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 01 $135 $0 -0%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 01 $176 $0 -0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 01 $715 −$2 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? May 31 $234 $0 -0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 30 $228 $0 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 30 $413 −$1 -0%
Xi Jinping out by June 30? May 28 $519 −$1 -0%
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 28 $67 $0 -0%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 28 $67 $0 -0%
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? May 27 $67 $0 -0%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 27 $156 −$1 -0%
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 27 $295 $0 -0%
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 26 $321 $0 -0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 26 $150 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 46% −$40
sports 24% −$25
politics 9% −$7
crypto 7% −$8
world 5% −$5
economics 5% −$3
culture 4% −$3
finance 0% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $59 1h
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $59 3h
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 98¢ $59 4h
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 98¢ $60 5h
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $60 8h
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $60 10h
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $60 11h
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $60 13h
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $60 14h
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 97¢ $60 15h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $60 21h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $60 22h
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 97¢ $41 22h
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $19 24h
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $19 25h
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 97¢ $10 25h
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 97¢ $10 28h
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 97¢ $60 30h
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $60 31h
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $60 32h
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 97¢ $60 35h
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 97¢ $61 37h
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $61 38h
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $61 39h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $61 2d
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $61 2d
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $61 2d
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $61 2d
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $61 2d
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $61 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 72 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 177 -0.2% -9.7% 4% 0% -9.7%
all 245 -0.2% -9.7% 4% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1328 history records