Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:15:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D3
0xd325…8c5f
sports · 394 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4,990 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,997 · open −$95
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$938
Realized−$4,997
Unrealized−$95
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses147 / 257
Est. fees paid−$379
Open positions21
Markets (closed)404 / 394
History coverage19d
Avg bet$82
Trades / day174.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 21 History 404 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,061
7 days−$1,850
14 days−$3,005
30 days−$4,997
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 37¢ 36¢ $147 $146 −$1 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 67¢ 100¢ $67 $100 +$33 (+49%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 29¢ 100¢ $29 $100 +$70 (+243%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Under 50¢ 100¢ $50 $100 +$50 (+99%)
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 85¢ 84¢ $85 $84 −$0 (-1%)
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Yes 70¢ 70¢ $70 $70 +$0 (+1%)
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 51¢ 47¢ $51 $47 −$4 (-7%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? No 44¢ 42¢ $44 $42 −$2 (-3%)
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 39¢ 41¢ $39 $41 +$2 (+5%)
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 62¢ 40¢ $62 $40 −$22 (-35%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? No 20¢ 19¢ $40 $37 −$2 (-6%)
Will France win on 2026-06-16? No 34¢ 34¢ $34 $34 −$0 (-1%)
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 23¢ 34¢ $23 $34 +$10 (+46%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 22¢ 19¢ $22 $19 −$3 (-13%)
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 38¢ 18¢ $38 $18 −$20 (-51%)
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? No 10¢ 10¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-5%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $9 $8 −$1 (-13%)
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 6¢ 4¢ $6 $4 −$2 (-36%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 44¢ 0¢ $176 $2 −$174 (-99%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 64¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+57%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$16 (-97%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? No 63¢ 0¢ $63 $0 −$62 (-99%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 13¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Panna Udvardy vs Viktorija Golubic Panna Udvardy 10¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Prostejov: Vitaliy Sachko vs Jan Kumstat Jan Kumstat 9¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Roland Garros WTA: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Leolia Jeanjean Jun 14 $27 −$27 -100%
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5) Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Petra Marcinko vs Eva Lys Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5 Jun 14 $56 −$56 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 14 $37 −$37 -100%
Kosice: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Martin Krumich Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Will AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw? Jun 14 $13 −$25 -200%
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Anna Bondar Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5 Jun 14 $41 −$41 -100%
Will Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. Reilac Shiga end in a draw? Jun 14 $3 −$6 -200%
Kosice: Taro Daniel vs Oleg Prihodko Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Talia Gibson vs Yulia Putintseva Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Vicenza: Manoj Dhamne Manas vs Frederico Ferreira Silva Jun 14 $157 −$157 -100%
Will Matsumoto Yamaga FC vs. Fukushima United FC end in a draw? Jun 14 $4 −$8 -200%
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-3.5) Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-05-24? Jun 14 $7 −$14 -200%
Roland Garros ATP: Emilio Nava vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Kamatamare Sanuki vs. FC Ōsaka end in a draw? Jun 14 $4 −$8 -200%
Chisinau: Marko Topo vs Lorenzo Giustino Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-05-24? Jun 14 $26 −$52 -200%
Kosice: Guido Justo vs Lilian Marmousez Jun 14 $55 −$55 -100%
Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-05-24? Jun 14 $11 −$22 -200%
Vicenza: Tristan Boyer vs Miguel Damas Jun 14 $34 −$34 -100%
Little Rock: Andre Ilagan vs Yasutaka Uchiyama Jun 14 $48 −$48 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Julia Grabher vs Rebecca Sramkova Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Terence Atmane Jun 14 $289 −$289 -100%
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5) Jun 14 $37 −$37 -100%
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-05-24? Jun 14 $16 −$32 -200%
Roland Garros WTA: Sarah Rakotomanga vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $47 +$53 +113%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $96 +$4 +4%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $46 +$54 +118%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $159 +$140 +88%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $20 +$79 +388%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $106 −$6 -6%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $63 +$37 +59%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $55 −$54 -99%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $96 −$96 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $23 −$22 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $105 −$6 -5%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $79 +$21 +27%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $31 −$30 -98%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P Jun 13 $57 −$56 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $72 +$28 +40%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $179 −$177 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $24 −$23 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $71 +$29 +41%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $28 −$27 -98%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% −$3,907
other 5% −$44
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 100¢ $199 1m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 84¢ $84 19m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 50¢ $50 39m
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY No 63¢ $64 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 43¢ $44 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 44¢ $89 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 45¢ $46 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 37¢ $113 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 29¢ $30 1h
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 85¢ $85 2h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays SELL New York Yankees 100¢ $299 2h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $17 2h
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $6 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 100¢ $99 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 100¢ $99 3h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 94¢ $94 3h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner SELL Team Liquid 100¢ $99 3h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 12¢ $12 3h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 100¢ $99 3h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Liquid 45¢ $46 3h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 47¢ $47 3h
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 39¢ $40 4h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 67¢ $68 4h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 54¢ $55 4h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 20¢ $20 4h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY No 96¢ $96 4h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 96¢ $96 4h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Legacy 100¢ $99 5h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 22¢ $23 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-17.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 203 -12.8% -21.1% 37% 35% -21.7%
≤30d 404 -9.1% -17.8% 36% 33% -26.6%
≤90d 404 -9.1% -17.8% 36% 33% -26.6%
all 404 -9.1% -17.8% 36% 33% -26.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover174.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.8% 33% -26.6%
10% ← realistic here -25.6% 31% -33.6%
15% -32.8% 26% -40.0%
20% -39.4% 23% -45.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $937.63 · official $974.49 · 3500 history records