trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | +5.8% | -4.3% | 60% | 60% | -5.3% |
| ≤30d | 14 | +9.1% | -1.3% | 64% | 64% | +5.5% |
| ≤90d | 14 | +9.1% | -1.3% | 64% | 64% | +5.5% |
| all | 24 | -1.9% | -11.3% | 58% | 54% | -7.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.3% | 54% | -7.5% |
| 10% | -19.8% | 46% | -16.3% |
| 15% | -27.5% | 38% | -24.4% |
| 20% | -34.6% | 25% | -31.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hurricanes win? | Yes | 69¢ | 100¢ | $150 | $217 | +$67 (+45%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score | Jun 20 | $76 | −$75 | -99% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $101 | +$71 | +70% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $25 | −$25 | -99% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $203 | −$200 | -99% |
| England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score | Jun 17 | $66 | +$69 | +105% |
| Ghana vs. Panama: Both Teams to Score | Jun 17 | $66 | −$65 | -98% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $151 | +$66 | +43% |
| France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score | Jun 16 | $86 | +$84 | +97% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $152 | +$49 | +32% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score | Jun 14 | $66 | +$72 | +109% |
| SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -96% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $161 | +$70 | +44% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli | Jun 04 | $51 | +$47 | +93% |
| Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31? | Jun 02 | $296 | +$96 | +32% |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | Mar 30 | $327 | −$284 | -87% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024? | Feb 24 | $205 | −$205 | -100% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before July? | Feb 24 | $35 | −$15 | -43% |
| Will there be a US Government shutdown? | Dec 20 | $111 | −$58 | -52% |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024? | Dec 05 | $151 | −$76 | -50% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November? | Dec 01 | $350 | +$168 | +48% |
| Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | Nov 15 | $619 | +$90 | +14% |
| Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | Nov 11 | $51 | +$8 | +15% |
| House control after 2024 election? | Nov 08 | $465 | +$7 | +2% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Nov 06 | $258 | +$207 | +80% |