Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:42:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0xd337…663e

sports · 3 markets active 2h ago

4.5score

+$6 +7%

TOTAL PnL · realized +$9 · open −$12

avoidriskycopy

~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ Small sample

Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗

Net worth$37

Realized+$9

Unrealized−$12

Win rate (resolved)100%

Wins / losses1 / 0

Est. fees paid−$1

Open positions2

Markets (closed)1 / 3

History coverage1d

Avg bet$29

Trades / day4.0

Drawdown0%

Kalshi-fit100%

Chart Positions 2 History 1 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage

1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

2 days+$9

7 days+$9

14 days+$9

30 days+$9

Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket

Market	outcome	entry	now	invested	value	unrealized PnL
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Bilibili Gaming	67¢	82¢	$19	$23	+$4 (+23%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI	Gen.G	82¢	38¢	$30	$14	−$16 (-54%)

Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).

Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first

Market	when	invested	PnL	ROI
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Jun 13	$39	+$9	+23%

Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.

sports 100% −$3

Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

Latest trades by this wallet

Market	side	price	size	when
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	BUY Bilibili Gaming	67¢	$19	1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI	BUY Gen.G	82¢	$30	2h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	BUY Bilibili Gaming	74¢	$19	21h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	BUY Bilibili Gaming	88¢	$20	23h

From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.

insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge

break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even

chance a trade nets +100%

net ROI/market (all)+11.7%

timeframe	markets	gross ROI	NET ROI	gross WR	NET WR	net PnL (wtd)
≤7d	1	+23.4%	+11.7%	100%	100%	+11.7%
≤30d	1	+23.4%	+11.7%	100%	100%	+11.7%
≤90d	1	+23.4%	+11.7%	100%	100%	+11.7%
all	1	+23.4%	+11.7%	100%	100%	+11.7%

gross = as the leader traded. net = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

turnover4.0 tr/day

realistic slip~7%

edge survives to10%

copier slippage	NET ROI	NET WR	net PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here	+11.7%	100%	+11.7%
10%	+1.0%	100%	+1.0%
15%	-8.8%	0%	-8.8%
20%	-17.7%	0%	-17.7%

Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a trap: leader profits, you lose.

✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $36.66 · official $36.66 (match) · 5 history records