trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 13 | +20.8% | +9.3% | 54% | 38% | +3.7% |
| ≤30d | 13 | +20.8% | +9.3% | 54% | 38% | +3.7% |
| ≤90d | 19 | +3.2% | -6.6% | 47% | 32% | +1.7% |
| all | 19 | +3.2% | -6.6% | 47% | 32% | +1.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -6.6% | 32% | +1.7% |
| 10% | -15.6% | 32% | -8.0% |
| 15% | -23.7% | 26% | -16.9% |
| 20% | -31.2% | 21% | -25.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 44¢ | 24¢ | $100 | $56 | −$44 (-44%) |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 64¢ | 62¢ | $50 | $48 | −$2 (-4%) |
| Spread: Brazil (-2.5) | Brazil | 56¢ | 50¢ | $50 | $44 | −$6 (-12%) |
| Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping? | Yes | 36¢ | 0¢ | $48 | $0 | −$48 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score | Jun 14 | $493 | +$407 | +83% |
| Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score | Jun 14 | $17 | +$20 | +113% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $101 | −$13 | -12% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $102 | −$40 | -39% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 13 | $2,696 | +$147 | +6% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $57 | $0 | -0% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $81 | +$30 | +38% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $36 | +$47 | +131% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $51 | −$25 | -50% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $50 | +$3 | +6% |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Jun 10 | $1,169 | −$196 | -17% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect | Jun 10 | $4,616 | +$1,080 | +23% |
| Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election | Jun 08 | $314 | −$28 | -9% |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 15 | $51 | +$33 | +64% |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi | May 15 | $103 | −$102 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 14 | $50 | −$48 | -98% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | Apr 28 | $98 | −$21 | -21% |
| Peru General Election invalidated by June 30? | Apr 24 | $75 | +$5 | +7% |
| Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Apr 14 | $50 | −$30 | -61% |