trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 4 | -23.3% | -30.6% | 75% | 0% | -46.7% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -7.1% | -16.0% | 88% | 12% | -24.8% |
| all | 14 | -3.5% | -12.7% | 86% | 7% | -8.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.7% | 7% | -8.9% |
| 10% | -21.0% | 7% | -17.7% |
| 15% | -28.7% | 0% | -25.6% |
| 20% | -35.7% | 0% | -32.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 Week of June 15 2026? | No | 99¢ | 98¢ | $31 | $31 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Morocco (-2.5) | Jun 12 | $42 | −$21 | -50% |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $2.00-$3.00 on the final day of trading | Jun 05 | $10 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on June 4? | Jun 05 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on May 21? | May 21 | $8 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $472.50 Week of May 11 2026? | May 15 | $8 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C or higher on May 12? | May 12 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 90°F or higher on April 28? | May 11 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Rangers vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5 | May 11 | $12 | +$4 | +32% |
| Will Trump's remarks in Rome, GA not air? | Feb 19 | $843 | +$5 | +1% |
| Will Yodchanan Wongsawat be the next prime minister of Thailand? | Jan 28 | $952 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026? | Jan 28 | $951 | −$1 | -0% |
| OKX IPO in 2026? | Jan 08 | $520 | +$20 | +4% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jan 07 | $187 | +$3 | +1% |
| US strike on Cuba by March 31? | Jan 07 | $702 | +$16 | +2% |