Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:24:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D3
0xd388…4c38
sports · 6 markets active 0h ago
4.5score
+$74 +132%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$75 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized+$75
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses4 / 0
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions2
Markets (closed)4 / 6
History coverage1d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day8.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 2 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$75
7 days+$75
14 days+$75
30 days+$75
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland? Yes 9¢ 9¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? Yes 21¢ 19¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-10%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $5 +$15 +291%
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Jun 14 $20 +$9 +44%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $5 +$31 +596%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $15 +$20 +134%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 82% +$75
other 18% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland? BUY Yes 9¢ $5 27m
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? BUY Yes 21¢ $5 27m
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $20 1h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $36 2h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) BUY Morocco 69¢ $20 20h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 25¢ $5 21h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 42¢ $15 21h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 14¢ $5 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+231.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +266.0% +231.1% 100% 100% +138.3%
≤30d 4 +266.0% +231.1% 100% 100% +138.3%
≤90d 4 +266.0% +231.1% 100% 100% +138.3%
all 4 +266.0% +231.1% 100% 100% +138.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +231.1% 100% +138.3%
10% +199.4% 100% +115.5%
15% +170.5% 100% +94.7%
20% +144.0% 75% +75.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.52 · official $9.52 (match) · 10 history records