trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs vs. Broncos | Chiefs | 67¢ | 0¢ | $7,029 | $0 | −$7,029 (-100%) |
| Spread: North Texas (-6.5) | North Texas | 53¢ | 0¢ | $4,099 | $0 | −$4,099 (-100%) |
| Kennesaw State vs. Western Michigan | Kennesaw State | 41¢ | 0¢ | $52,521 | $0 | −$52,521 (-100%) |
| Mariners vs. Tigers | Mariners | 50¢ | 0¢ | $55,000 | $0 | −$55,000 (-100%) |
| Georgia Tech vs. Duke: O/U 60.5 | Over | 51¢ | 0¢ | $15,107 | $0 | −$15,107 (-100%) |
| O/U 51.5 | Under | 52¢ | 0¢ | $6,792 | $0 | −$6,792 (-100%) |
| Spread: Tennessee (-3.5) | Florida Gators | 51¢ | 0¢ | $3,411 | $0 | −$3,411 (-100%) |
| Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. UCLA: O/U 45.5 | Under | 51¢ | 0¢ | $2,471 | $0 | −$2,471 (-100%) |
| Falcons vs. Patriots | Falcons | 32¢ | 0¢ | $9,600 | $0 | −$9,600 (-100%) |
| Colts vs. Steelers | Colts | 62¢ | 0¢ | $27,900 | $0 | −$27,900 (-100%) |
| Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 36.5 | Over | 55¢ | 0¢ | $4,742 | $0 | −$4,742 (-100%) |
| SMU vs. TCU | SMU | 33¢ | 0¢ | $16,485 | $0 | −$16,485 (-100%) |
| Tulsa vs. East Carolina | Tulsa | 15¢ | 0¢ | $10,737 | $0 | −$10,737 (-100%) |
| Miami vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5 | Under | 53¢ | 0¢ | $54,619 | $0 | −$54,619 (-100%) |
| Spread: Arizona State (-10.5) | Arizona State | 51¢ | 0¢ | $4,893 | $0 | −$4,893 (-100%) |
| TCU vs. BYU | TCU | 42¢ | 0¢ | $293 | $0 | −$293 (-100%) |
| O/U 50.5 | Over | 51¢ | 0¢ | $15,610 | $0 | −$15,610 (-100%) |
| Chargers vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5 | Over | 47¢ | 0¢ | $23,795 | $0 | −$23,795 (-100%) |
| Spread: UNLV (-3.5) | Hawaii | 56¢ | 0¢ | $1,400 | $0 | −$1,400 (-100%) |
| Seahawks vs. Steelers | Steelers | 64¢ | 0¢ | $25,600 | $0 | −$25,600 (-100%) |
| Cowboys vs. Jets | Jets | 49¢ | 0¢ | $20,974 | $0 | −$20,974 (-100%) |
| UAB Blazers vs. Rice | UAB Blazers | 50¢ | 0¢ | $19,331 | $0 | −$19,331 (-100%) |
| Vikings vs. Chargers: O/U 44.5 | Under | 49¢ | 0¢ | $21,743 | $0 | −$21,743 (-100%) |
| New Mexico vs. San Jose State | New Mexico | 45¢ | 0¢ | $11,927 | $0 | −$11,927 (-100%) |
| Texas vs. Kentucky: O/U 43.5 | Over | 52¢ | 0¢ | $3,171 | $0 | −$3,171 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-1.5) | Apr 05 | $14,400 | +$15,132 | +105% |
| Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini | Apr 05 | $27,600 | +$31,428 | +114% |
| Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies | Mar 28 | $51,300 | +$38,314 | +75% |
| Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5) | Mar 28 | $24,032 | +$23,075 | +96% |
| Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones | Mar 28 | $73,692 | −$73,380 | -100% |
| Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-3.5) | Mar 28 | $6,878 | −$6,848 | -100% |
| Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines | Mar 27 | $16,000 | −$15,955 | -100% |
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils | Mar 27 | $5,982 | −$5,964 | -100% |
| Spread: Houston Cougars (-3.5) | Mar 27 | $4,539 | +$3,531 | +78% |
| Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-7.5) | Mar 27 | $31,800 | +$27,938 | +88% |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars | Mar 27 | $41,689 | +$50,634 | +122% |
| Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | Mar 26 | $64,800 | −$64,518 | -100% |
| Spread: Nuggets (-4.5) | Mar 06 | $12,250 | +$12,750 | +104% |
| Lakers vs. Nuggets | Mar 06 | $21,700 | +$13,300 | +61% |
| Patriots vs. Broncos | Jan 25 | $99,147 | −$99,146 | -100% |
| Rams vs. Seahawks | Jan 25 | $58,001 | −$58,001 | -100% |
| Spread: Indiana (-7.5) | Jan 23 | $60,154 | +$57,796 | +96% |
| Miami vs. Indiana | Jan 19 | $10,048 | −$10,048 | -100% |
| Miami vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5 | Jan 19 | $54,619 | −$54,619 | -100% |
| Texans vs. Patriots: O/U 41.5 | Jan 19 | $64,708 | +$72,968 | +113% |
| Spread: Rams (-3.5) | Jan 18 | $102,863 | −$102,863 | -100% |
| Bills vs. Broncos | Jan 18 | $54,253 | +$48,111 | +89% |
| Spread: Seahawks (-7.5) | Jan 18 | $53,239 | +$58,370 | +110% |
| Spread: Eagles (-4.5) | Jan 12 | $49,532 | +$55,931 | +113% |
| Bills vs. Jaguars | Jan 12 | $5,180 | +$6,081 | +117% |
| Chargers vs. Patriots | Jan 12 | $35,799 | −$35,799 | -100% |
| Packers vs. Bears: O/U 44.5 | Jan 11 | $19,702 | +$15,473 | +78% |
| Texans vs. Steelers | Jan 11 | $8,996 | −$8,996 | -100% |
| Chargers vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5 | Jan 11 | $23,795 | −$23,795 | -100% |
| Rams vs. Panthers | Jan 11 | $6,195 | +$1,269 | +20% |
| Rams vs. Panthers: O/U 46.5 | Jan 11 | $15,324 | +$19,503 | +127% |
| Spread: Rams (-10.5) | Jan 10 | $32,075 | −$32,075 | -100% |
| Spread: Patriots (-3.5) | Jan 10 | $50,704 | −$50,704 | -100% |
| Packers vs. Bears | Jan 10 | $225,995 | −$225,995 | -100% |
| Miami vs. Ole Miss | Jan 09 | $108,781 | −$108,781 | -100% |
| Spread: Bengals (-7.5) | Jan 05 | $10,683 | +$12,563 | +118% |
| Ravens vs. Steelers | Jan 05 | $24,255 | +$51,543 | +212% |
| Spread: Bears (-2.5) | Jan 05 | $6,248 | −$6,248 | -100% |
| Spread: Bears (-3.5) | Jan 05 | $7,449 | −$7,449 | -100% |
| Spread: Eagles (-4.5) | Jan 05 | $8,104 | −$8,104 | -100% |
| Dolphins vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5 | Jan 05 | $11,862 | −$11,862 | -100% |
| Cardinals vs. Rams | Jan 05 | $15,586 | +$3,656 | +24% |
| Spread: Rams (-7.5) | Jan 05 | $16,916 | +$12,433 | +74% |
| Chiefs vs. Raiders | Jan 05 | $30,760 | +$54,685 | +178% |
| Spread: Ravens (-3.5) | Jan 04 | $97,586 | −$97,586 | -100% |
| Spread: Falcons (-3.5) | Jan 04 | $3,539 | −$3,539 | -100% |
| Lions vs. Bears | Jan 04 | $4,027 | −$4,027 | -100% |
| Spread: Seahawks (-1.5) | Jan 04 | $12,086 | +$9,496 | +79% |
| Panthers vs. Buccaneers: O/U 43.5 | Jan 04 | $16,441 | +$15,176 | +92% |
| Seahawks vs. 49ers | Jan 04 | $277,720 | +$192,992 | +70% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-1.5) | BUY Connecticut Huskies | 48¢ | $14,400 | 68d |
| Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini | BUY Connecticut Huskies | 46¢ | $27,600 | 68d |
| Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones | BUY Iowa State Cyclones | 59¢ | $4,130 | 76d |
| Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones | BUY Iowa State Cyclones | 59¢ | $3,101 | 76d |
| Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-3.5) | BUY Iowa State Cyclones | 48¢ | $6,878 | 76d |
| Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones | BUY Iowa State Cyclones | 59¢ | $2 | 76d |
| Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones | BUY Iowa State Cyclones | 59¢ | $9 | 76d |
| Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones | BUY Iowa State Cyclones | 59¢ | $1 | 76d |
| Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones | BUY Iowa State Cyclones | 59¢ | $35 | 76d |
| Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones | BUY Iowa State Cyclones | 59¢ | $7,413 | 76d |
| Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones | BUY Iowa State Cyclones | 59¢ | $59,000 | 76d |
| Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies | BUY Connecticut Huskies | 57¢ | $51,300 | 76d |
| Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines | BUY Alabama Crimson Tide | 20¢ | $16,000 | 76d |
| Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5) | BUY St. Johns Red Storm | 51¢ | $1,917 | 76d |
| Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5) | BUY St. Johns Red Storm | 51¢ | $22,114 | 76d |
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils | BUY St. Johns Red Storm | 29¢ | $4,984 | 76d |
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils | BUY St. Johns Red Storm | 29¢ | $2 | 76d |
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils | BUY St. Johns Red Storm | 29¢ | $300 | 76d |
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils | BUY St. Johns Red Storm | 29¢ | $0 | 76d |
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils | BUY St. Johns Red Storm | 29¢ | $2 | 76d |
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils | BUY St. Johns Red Storm | 29¢ | $694 | 76d |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars | BUY Illinois Fighting Illini | 51¢ | $6,489 | 77d |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars | BUY Illinois Fighting Illini | 44¢ | $26,400 | 77d |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars | BUY Illinois Fighting Illini | 44¢ | $8,800 | 77d |
| Spread: Houston Cougars (-3.5) | BUY Illinois Fighting Illini | 56¢ | $4,539 | 77d |
| Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-7.5) | BUY Arizona Wildcats | 53¢ | $31,800 | 77d |
| Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | BUY Nebraska Cornhuskers | 54¢ | $64,800 | 77d |
| Spread: Nuggets (-4.5) | BUY Nuggets | 49¢ | $12,250 | 98d |
| Lakers vs. Nuggets | BUY Nuggets | 62¢ | $21,700 | 98d |
| Patriots vs. Broncos | BUY Broncos | 34¢ | $17,033 | 137d |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 12 | +14.7% | +3.8% | 58% | 58% | -3.7% |
| all | 563 | +9.6% | -0.9% | 50% | 50% | +7.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -0.9% | 50% | +7.8% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -10.3% | 49% | -2.6% |
| 15% | -19.0% | 49% | -12.0% |
| 20% | -26.9% | 47% | -20.6% |