Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T08:02:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D3
0xd3b0…329e
sports · 153 markets active 15h ago
0.0score
+$471,103 +24%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$471,159 · open −$56
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$7
Realized+$471,159
Unrealized−$56
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses106 / 47
Whale WR (big bets)82%
Est. fees paid−$21,222
Open positions1
Markets (closed)153 / 153
Avg bet$12,710
Trades / day247.9
Drawdown20%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 153 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$14,773
7 days+$190,329
14 days+$471,159
30 days+$471,159
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by June 30, 2026? Yes 62¢ 7¢ $63 $7 −$56 (-89%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3,762 −$3,762 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $12,717 −$12,717 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $11,167 −$11,167 -100%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $11,278 +$4,434 +39%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $8,430 +$4,220 +50%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $3,207 +$6,043 +188%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $2,808 +$3,473 +124%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $5,740 +$5,760 +100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $13,030 +$12,720 +98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $3,801 +$2,263 +60%
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Jun 10 $2,406 +$1,512 +63%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 10 $1,056 +$225 +21%
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - The International Europe Op Jun 10 $3,068 +$1,388 +45%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $1,714 +$381 +22%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $4,411 +$3,524 +80%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $11,700 +$12,300 +105%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $6,360 +$3,040 +48%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $12,024 +$8,476 +70%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $3,133 −$3,133 -100%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5) Jun 08 $11,294 +$4,168 +37%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $4,577 +$1,669 +36%
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO1) - Asia Masters Group B Jun 08 $1,109 +$533 +48%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $5,287 +$6,977 +132%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $41,967 +$23,783 +57%
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $1,131 −$1,131 -100%
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $2,268 −$2,268 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $2,254 −$2,254 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $6,878 −$6,878 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $5,114 −$5,114 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $9,641 −$9,641 -100%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $21,519 −$21,519 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $20,703 −$20,703 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $23,446 +$13,978 +60%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $31,727 +$15,427 +49%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $10,958 +$15,791 +144%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $14,851 +$20,137 +136%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $20,648 +$15,352 +74%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $61,160 +$13,708 +22%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $12,785 +$6,215 +49%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $35,796 +$11,177 +31%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $3,765 +$1,785 +47%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $26,695 +$14,305 +54%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $8,342 +$4,158 +50%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $21,230 +$32,770 +154%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $5,485 +$4,015 +73%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 07 $4,263 −$4,263 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $2,709 −$2,709 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 07 $5,618 −$5,618 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $6,375 −$6,375 -100%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $6,711 −$6,711 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$471,159
other 0% −$56
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY Galions 75¢ $112 15h
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY Galions 75¢ $4 15h
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY Galions 75¢ $0 15h
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY Galions 75¢ $4 15h
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY Galions 75¢ $4 15h
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY Galions 75¢ $4 15h
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY Galions 75¢ $825 15h
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY Galions 75¢ $4 15h
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY Galions 75¢ $4 15h
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY Galions 75¢ $8 15h
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY Galions 73¢ $76 15h
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY Galions 73¢ $4 15h
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY Galions 73¢ $1,874 15h
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY Galions 73¢ $12 15h
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY Galions 73¢ $208 15h
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY Galions 73¢ $417 15h
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY Galions 73¢ $121 15h
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY Galions 73¢ $12 15h
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY Galions 73¢ $14 15h
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY Galions 73¢ $114 15h
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY Galions 73¢ $12 15h
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY Galions 73¢ $215 15h
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY Galions 72¢ $472 15h
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY Galions 72¢ $4 15h
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY Galions 72¢ $504 15h
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY Galions 72¢ $503 15h
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY Galions 72¢ $771 15h
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY Galions 72¢ $108 15h
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY Galions 72¢ $128 15h
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY Galions 72¢ $1,673 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +69%
net ROI/market (all)+6.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 74 +15.8% +4.8% 69% 69% +9.8%
≤30d 153 +17.8% +6.6% 69% 69% +12.4%
≤90d 153 +17.8% +6.6% 69% 69% +12.4%
all 153 +17.8% +6.6% 69% 69% +12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover247.9 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +6.6% 69% +12.4%
10% -3.6% 64% +1.6%
15% ← realistic here -12.9% 54% -8.2%
20% -21.5% 39% -17.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.10 · official $7.10 (match) · 3500 history records