Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:11:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D3
0xd3c5…2a23
other · 6 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$2 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 5
Open positions1
Markets (closed)5 / 6
History coverage3d
Avg bet$278
Trades / day61.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit17%
Chart Positions 1 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Alec Pierce be traded? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $5 $6 +$0 (+7%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Germán Berterame win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? Jun 12 $183 $0 -0%
Will Albert Rusnák win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? Jun 12 $167 $0 +0%
Will Tadeo Allende win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? Jun 12 $20 $0 +0%
Will Prince-Osei Owusu win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? Jun 12 $31 $0 +0%
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026? Jun 09 $2 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% $0
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Alec Pierce be traded? SELL Yes 1¢ $14 1m
Will Alec Pierce be traded? BUY Yes 1¢ $18 1m
Will Alec Pierce be traded? SELL Yes 1¢ $18 2m
Will Alec Pierce be traded? BUY Yes 1¢ $18 2m
Will Alec Pierce be traded? SELL Yes 1¢ $18 2m
Will Alec Pierce be traded? BUY Yes 1¢ $18 2m
Will Alec Pierce be traded? SELL Yes 1¢ $18 13m
Will Alec Pierce be traded? BUY Yes 1¢ $18 13m
Will Alec Pierce be traded? SELL Yes 1¢ $18 13m
Will Alec Pierce be traded? BUY Yes 1¢ $18 13m
Will Alec Pierce be traded? SELL Yes 1¢ $18 13m
Will Alec Pierce be traded? BUY Yes 1¢ $18 14m
Will Alec Pierce be traded? SELL Yes 1¢ $18 14m
Will Alec Pierce be traded? BUY Yes 1¢ $18 14m
Will Alec Pierce be traded? SELL Yes 1¢ $18 14m
Will Alec Pierce be traded? BUY Yes 1¢ $18 14m
Will Alec Pierce be traded? SELL Yes 1¢ $18 16m
Will Alec Pierce be traded? BUY Yes 1¢ $18 16m
Will Alec Pierce be traded? SELL Yes 1¢ $18 1h
Will Alec Pierce be traded? BUY Yes 1¢ $18 1h
Will Alec Pierce be traded? SELL Yes 1¢ $18 1h
Will Alec Pierce be traded? BUY Yes 1¢ $18 1h
Will Alec Pierce be traded? SELL Yes 1¢ $18 1h
Will Alec Pierce be traded? BUY Yes 1¢ $18 1h
Will Alec Pierce be traded? SELL Yes 1¢ $18 1h
Will Alec Pierce be traded? BUY Yes 1¢ $18 1h
Will Alec Pierce be traded? SELL Yes 1¢ $18 1h
Will Alec Pierce be traded? BUY Yes 1¢ $18 1h
Will Alec Pierce be traded? SELL Yes 1¢ $18 1h
Will Alec Pierce be traded? BUY Yes 1¢ $18 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -0.0% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 5 -0.0% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 5 -0.0% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
all 5 -0.0% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover61.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 0% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.1% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.62 · official $5.62 (match) · 211 history records