trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | +7.3% | -2.9% | 89% | 22% | -2.1% |
| ≤30d | 11 | +6.1% | -4.0% | 82% | 18% | -3.0% |
| ≤90d | 11 | +6.1% | -4.0% | 82% | 18% | -3.0% |
| all | 11 | +6.1% | -4.0% | 82% | 18% | -3.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -4.0% | 18% | -3.0% |
| 10% | -13.2% | 9% | -12.3% |
| 15% | -21.6% | 0% | -20.8% |
| 20% | -29.3% | 0% | -28.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30? | Jun 18 | $24 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026? | Jun 18 | $48 | +$1 | +2% |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? | Jun 18 | $21 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal? | Jun 18 | $96 | +$3 | +3% |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? | Jun 16 | $3 | $0 | +4% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | Jun 16 | $27 | +$1 | +3% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? | Jun 15 | $63 | +$12 | +19% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | Jun 15 | $30 | +$8 | +28% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? | Jun 12 | $40 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary elec | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | +2% |