trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -12.6% | -20.9% | 0% | 0% | -10.7% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -12.6% | -20.9% | 0% | 0% | -10.7% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -12.6% | -20.9% | 0% | 0% | -10.7% |
| all | 40 | -5.7% | -14.7% | 38% | 22% | -9.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.7% | 22% | -9.0% |
| 10% | -22.9% | 22% | -17.7% |
| 15% | -30.3% | 22% | -25.6% |
| 20% | -37.2% | 22% | -32.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $1,000 | $1,000 | −$1 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 19 | $1,003 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 19 | $894 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 19 | $730 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 18 | $400 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 18 | $578 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $60 | −$60 | -100% |
| Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 18 | $427 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 18 | $1,066 | −$2 | -0% |
| Flames vs. Blues | Nov 12 | $17 | +$13 | +75% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Nov 11 | $18 | −$18 | -100% |
| Capitals vs. Hurricanes | Nov 11 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Pacers vs. Jazz | Nov 11 | $39 | −$39 | -100% |
| Bucks vs. Mavericks | Nov 11 | $11 | +$9 | +79% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Magic | Nov 11 | $12 | +$10 | +82% |
| Raptors vs. Hawks | Nov 10 | $30 | +$37 | +122% |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5 | Nov 06 | $15 | +$15 | +96% |
| Spread: BAL (-4.5) | Oct 06 | $8 | +$8 | +96% |
| Blue Jays vs. Rays | Sep 16 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Buccaneers vs. Texans | Sep 16 | $6 | +$8 | +127% |
| Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%? | Jul 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June? | Jul 15 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Krzysztof Stanowski be the next President of Poland? | Jun 23 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 9-12%? | Jun 23 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in May? | May 12 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150k in May? | May 08 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200k in May? | May 06 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025? | May 05 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 30 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 25 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Panthers vs. Avalanche | Jan 08 | $115 | +$97 | +84% |
| Canadiens vs. Blackhawks | Jan 04 | $104 | +$117 | +113% |
| Utah vs. Flames | Jan 03 | $103 | −$103 | -100% |
| Tether Insolvent in 2024? | Jan 02 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024? | Jan 02 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Ethereum all time high in 2024? | Jan 02 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024? | Jan 02 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Ethena crash in 2024? | Jan 02 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will there be 170,000,000-175,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. President | Dec 30 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Who will speak more at VP Debate? | Oct 03 | $19 | −$19 | -100% |
| 草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)? | Oct 01 | $11 | $0 | -2% |