Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T22:57:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
D3 0xd3e7…2206 crypto 48 markets active 2d ago coverage 35d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ profit from just two bets (not replicable)✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL −$1 (-0%) realized −$1 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -20% what you keep after slip
Net edge-20%after slip
Net WR8%break-even
Win rate19%9W / 39L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day5.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days−$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-17.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +4.6% -5.4% 50% 33% -7.8%
≤30d 42 -8.3% -17.1% 17% 10% -14.3%
≤90d 48 -8.5% -17.2% 19% 8% -15.1%
all 48 -8.5% -17.2% 19% 8% -15.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover5.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.2% 8% -15.1%
10% -25.2% 8% -23.2%
15% -32.4% 6% -30.7%
20% -39.0% 2% -37.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 48% · top 2 74% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
56% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -13% → late -4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$1 · ×2.21 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.51 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

35d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)19%
Wins / losses9 / 39
Open positions0
Markets (closed)48 / 48
History coverage35d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day5.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 48 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$7 +67%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$7 -34%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +37%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -28%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$2 -19%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 7PM ET Jun 05 $5 +$2 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 6PM ET Jun 05 $10 −$2 -18%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 8PM ET Jun 05 $5 $0 -3%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 7PM ET Jun 04 $3 −$1 -21%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 7PM ET Jun 03 $2 $0 -3%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 5PM ET Jun 03 $2 $0 -22%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 4PM ET Jun 03 $7 −$1 -9%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 9PM ET Jun 03 $3 $0 -10%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 8PM ET Jun 03 $6 $0 -8%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7PM ET Jun 02 $3 $0 -4%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5PM ET Jun 02 $5 −$2 -42%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4PM ET Jun 02 $10 $0 -3%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 8PM ET Jun 02 $6 $0 -1%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 7PM ET Jun 01 $3 −$1 -30%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 5PM ET Jun 01 $3 +$1 +30%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 8PM ET May 31 $4 −$1 -13%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 8PM ET May 30 $4 $0 -1%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 5PM ET May 29 $6 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 9PM ET May 28 $2 −$1 -27%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 8PM ET May 28 $2 $0 -5%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 7PM ET May 27 $2 −$1 -39%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 5PM ET May 27 $2 $0 -6%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 4PM ET May 27 $2 $0 -1%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 6PM ET May 26 $2 $0 -20%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 5PM ET May 26 $9 $0 -3%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 4PM ET May 26 $2 $0 -14%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 12PM ET May 25 $5 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 8PM ET May 24 $7 −$2 -23%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 9PM ET May 22 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 8PM ET May 22 $2 $0 -3%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 7PM ET May 21 $2 $0 -22%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 9PM ET May 21 $1 $0 -17%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 7PM ET May 20 $2 $0 -11%
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9PM ET May 20 $3 $0 -6%
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 8PM ET May 20 $3 $0 -10%
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 7PM ET May 19 $1 −$1 -64%
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 6PM ET May 13 $10 −$1 -11%
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 7PM ET May 12 $5 −$1 -14%
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 6PM ET May 12 $5 −$1 -28%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 11PM ET May 12 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9PM ET May 12 $1 $0 -8%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 8PM ET May 12 $1 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $1 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $17 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $10 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET SELL Down 61¢ $0 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET SELL Down 63¢ $3 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET SELL Down 38¢ $0 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET SELL Down 41¢ $6 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $10 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET SELL Down 46¢ $0 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET SELL Down 43¢ $7 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $10 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9PM ET SELL Down 93¢ $0 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9PM ET SELL Down 92¢ $14 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $0 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8PM ET SELL Down 44¢ $2 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7PM ET SELL Down 66¢ $0 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7PM ET SELL Down 57¢ $8 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $10 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 7PM ET SELL Down 93¢ $0 11d
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 7PM ET SELL Down 93¢ $7 11d
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 7PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 11d
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 6PM ET SELL Down 70¢ $0 12d
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 6PM ET SELL Down 66¢ $4 12d
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 6PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 12d
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 6PM ET SELL Up 15¢ $0 12d
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 6PM ET SELL Up 19¢ $4 12d
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 6PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $5 12d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 183 history records