trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 3 | -29.4% | -36.2% | 67% | 0% | -37.3% |
| ≤90d | 24 | -7.7% | -16.5% | 62% | 46% | -17.0% |
| all | 27 | -2.5% | -11.8% | 67% | 48% | -12.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.8% | 48% | -12.5% |
| 10% | -20.3% | 41% | -20.9% |
| 15% | -28.0% | 33% | -28.6% |
| 20% | -35.0% | 19% | -35.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | No | 93¢ | 92¢ | $7 | $7 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | No | 95¢ | 94¢ | $7 | $6 | −$0 (-2%) |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 15¢ | $5 | $1 | −$5 (-85%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | May 27 | $6 | $0 | +8% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31? | May 22 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? | May 16 | $7 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026? | May 04 | $7 | +$1 | +9% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026? | May 04 | $6 | +$1 | +24% |
| Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, | Apr 23 | $6 | +$1 | +20% |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwi | Apr 21 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-04-18? | Apr 21 | $5 | +$3 | +49% |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in t | Apr 13 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Capitals vs. Penguins | Apr 13 | $5 | +$6 | +113% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Apr 11 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Panthers vs. Penguins | Apr 07 | $6 | +$3 | +47% |
| Penguins vs. Lightning | Apr 05 | $6 | +$4 | +64% |
| Hawks vs. Pistons | Apr 05 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? | Apr 05 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes | Apr 05 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Bulls | Apr 05 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Apr 02 | $14 | +$2 | +13% |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Mar 23 | $6 | $0 | -4% |
| UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruins | Mar 23 | $6 | +$3 | +46% |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | Mar 20 | $7 | $0 | +5% |
| Hawks vs. Mavericks | Mar 20 | $7 | +$2 | +32% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | Mar 20 | $7 | +$6 | +93% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | Mar 18 | $3 | +$3 | +93% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on March 4? | Mar 10 | $6 | +$1 | +9% |
| Flames vs. Kings | Mar 02 | $6 | +$4 | +70% |
| Knicks vs. Bucks | Feb 28 | $5 | +$2 | +37% |