Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:01:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D3
0xd3f8…3492
crypto · 1643 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$188 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$188 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$188
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses958 / 841
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1799 / 1643
History coverage41d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day61.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1799 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$174
7 days−$169
14 days−$162
30 days−$168
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-29.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 495 -35.4% -41.6% 61% 7% -40.9%
≤30d 1083 -16.3% -24.3% 75% 14% -22.7%
≤90d 1799 -21.7% -29.1% 53% 12% -17.4%
all 1799 -21.7% -29.1% 53% 12% -17.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover61.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -29.1% 12% -17.4%
10% ← realistic here -35.9% 5% -25.3%
15% -42.1% 3% -32.6%
20% -47.8% 2% -39.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records