Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:59:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D4
0xd401…5a29
crypto · 73 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$176 -39%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$176 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$176
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses26 / 47
Open positions0
Markets (closed)73 / 73
History coverage58d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day3.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 73 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13
7 days−$15
14 days−$15
30 days−$15
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -61%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +80%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +128%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +101%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET May 03 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET May 03 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET May 03 $2 +$3 +149%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET May 03 $3 −$3 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET May 03 $3 −$3 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET May 03 $2 +$3 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET May 03 $1 +$1 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET May 03 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET May 03 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET May 03 $1 +$3 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET May 03 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET May 03 $1 +$1 +114%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET May 03 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET May 03 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET May 03 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET May 03 $1 $0 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$176
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $5 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $3 53m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Up 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET SELL Up 16¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET SELL Up 79¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET SELL Up 54¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET SELL Up 34¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-33.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 -17.7% -25.5% 41% 38% -24.9%
≤30d 34 -17.7% -25.5% 41% 38% -24.9%
≤90d 73 -26.8% -33.7% 36% 33% -44.8%
all 73 -26.8% -33.7% 36% 33% -44.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -33.7% 33% -44.8%
10% -40.1% 30% -50.1%
15% -45.9% 29% -54.9%
20% -51.2% 25% -59.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 211 history records