trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +0.2% | -9.4% | 40% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 50% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 50% | 0% | -9.8% |
| all | 23 | -5.8% | -14.8% | 30% | 0% | -11.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.8% | 0% | -11.2% |
| 10% | -22.9% | 0% | -19.7% |
| 15% | -30.4% | 0% | -27.4% |
| 20% | -37.2% | 0% | -34.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 19 | $38 | $0 | -1% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 19 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $38 | $0 | -1% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Jun 18 | $37 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 26 | $38 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 25 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 24 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Perplexity AI buy TikTok? | Dec 09 | $9 | $0 | +5% |
| Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 26 | $1 | −$1 | -78% |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in his first 100 days? | Apr 15 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in his first 100 days? | Apr 15 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 6-9%? | Apr 13 | $10 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in his first 100 days? | Apr 13 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the Western Conference? | Apr 13 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Amazon buy TikTok? | Apr 12 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland? | Apr 12 | $4 | −$1 | -20% |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Apr 08 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference? | Mar 23 | $11 | $0 | -1% |
| Oklahoma State vs. UCF | Mar 04 | $14 | −$4 | -31% |
| North Carolina vs. Virginia Tech | Mar 04 | $5 | $0 | -3% |
| USC Upstate vs. Gardner Webb | Mar 04 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Missouri vs. Oklahoma | Mar 04 | $16 | $0 | -3% |