trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -74.3% | -76.7% | 17% | 17% | -65.3% |
| ≤30d | 15 | -50.0% | -54.8% | 27% | 27% | -44.7% |
| ≤90d | 17 | -26.7% | -33.6% | 29% | 29% | -40.8% |
| all | 23 | -12.3% | -20.7% | 35% | 35% | -36.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -20.7% | 35% | -36.5% |
| 10% | -28.3% | 30% | -42.5% |
| 15% | -35.2% | 30% | -48.1% |
| 20% | -41.5% | 30% | -53.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 14¢ | $101 | $84 | −$17 (-17%) |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? | Yes | 46¢ | 25¢ | $130 | $71 | −$59 (-46%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 24 | $78 | −$77 | -99% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $76 | −$75 | -99% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET | Jun 24 | $104 | −$104 | -100% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $152 | +$83 | +54% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET | Jun 24 | $103 | −$103 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET | Jun 24 | $104 | −$100 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET | Jun 17 | $103 | +$85 | +83% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET | Jun 17 | $26 | −$25 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET | Jun 17 | $26 | −$26 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET | Jun 17 | $52 | +$79 | +152% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET | Jun 17 | $31 | +$19 | +61% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | Jun 17 | $52 | −$52 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET | Jun 17 | $26 | −$26 | -100% |
| Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score | Jun 17 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET | Jun 17 | $32 | −$32 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET | Apr 29 | $11 | +$42 | +397% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET | Apr 29 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Men's Final - Canada vs. USA | Mar 20 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Partido Popular win 32-35 seats in the 2026 Castilla y León regio | Mar 20 | $50 | +$62 | +124% |
| Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Feb 21 | $167 | −$167 | -100% |
| Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Feb 21 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 21? | Feb 21 | $50 | +$167 | +333% |
| Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | Feb 18 | $30 | +$4 | +12% |