trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -20.7% | -28.3% | 40% | 20% | -28.4% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -20.7% | -28.3% | 40% | 20% | -28.4% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -20.7% | -28.3% | 40% | 20% | -28.4% |
| all | 5 | -20.7% | -28.3% | 40% | 20% | -28.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -28.3% | 20% | -28.4% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -35.1% | 20% | -35.3% |
| 15% | -41.4% | 0% | -41.5% |
| 20% | -47.2% | 0% | -47.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Yes | 10¢ | 10¢ | $100 | $100 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal? | Jun 17 | $300 | −$219 | -73% |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | Jun 17 | $542 | +$146 | +27% |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? | Jun 17 | $1,881 | −$343 | -18% |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? | Jun 17 | $3,968 | −$1,731 | -44% |
| Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Pri | Jun 16 | $2,974 | +$126 | +4% |