Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:29:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D4
0xd487…053e
sports · 223 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$15,003 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$15,003 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$15,003
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses214 / 11
Whale WR (big bets)96%
Est. fees paid−$1,128
Open positions0
Markets (closed)225 / 223
History coverage7d
Avg bet$4,595
Trades / day483.6
Drawdown48%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 225 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3,707
7 days+$15,308
14 days+$15,003
30 days+$15,003
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Damajuana vs Players (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stage Damajuana 98¢ 0¢ $11,769 $0 −$11,769 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Crashers vs Alzon - Map 2 Winner Crashers 93¢ 0¢ $803 $0 −$803 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs RED Canids Academy (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Playoffs largadosypelados 95¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Damajuana vs Players (BO3) - CCT South America Series Jun 12 $11,769 −$12,855 -109%
Counter-Strike: Crashers vs Alzon - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $803 −$803 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,579 +$39 +2%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $30,832 +$998 +3%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,440 +$13 +1%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $30,583 +$518 +2%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $19,800 +$179 +1%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie Jun 12 $1,780 +$49 +3%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $6,454 +$1,514 +24%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $7,719 +$99 +1%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $28,208 +$489 +2%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $27,681 +$1,015 +4%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $27,394 +$315 +1%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $34 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $8,373 +$105 +1%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $6,635 +$58 +1%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $20,281 +$190 +1%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $4,021 +$160 +4%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $26,447 +$432 +2%
Rainbow Six Siege: Wildcard Gaming vs Cloud9 (BO1) - North America Lea Jun 12 $14,295 +$634 +4%
Rainbow Six Siege: DarkZero Esports vs Outlast (BO1) - North America L Jun 12 $472 +$5 +1%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $5,620 +$296 +5%
Rainbow Six Siege: Spacestation Gaming vs For Fun Esports (BO1) - Nort Jun 11 $9,198 +$215 +2%
Rainbow Six Siege: M80 vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - North America League Sta Jun 11 $22,532 +$1,361 +6%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Jun 11 $1,122 +$10 +1%
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $1,463 +$13 +1%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs PCIFIC - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $39 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $900 +$16 +2%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $140 +$4 +3%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $4,636 +$60 +1%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $18,880 +$227 +1%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $4,412 +$45 +1%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $3,563 +$248 +7%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $9,032 +$150 +2%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $7,866 +$71 +1%
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $3,960 +$39 +1%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $5,445 +$49 +1%
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 11 $13,268 +$231 +2%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $99 +$2 +2%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $368 −$186 -51%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $9,213 +$177 +2%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $12,080 +$138 +1%
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Oxuji Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $493 +$6 +1%
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $1,042 +$9 +1%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $7,490 +$38 +0%
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Play Jun 11 $458 +$32 +7%
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Jun 11 $106 +$2 +2%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $3,315 +$60 +2%
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1,480 +$29 +2%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $170 +$29 +17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$28,661
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $1,619 9m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 99¢ $231 12m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 99¢ $551 13m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 96¢ $41 17m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 96¢ $72 17m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 96¢ $336 17m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 96¢ $244 17m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 96¢ $105 18m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 100¢ $31,830 28m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 99¢ $441 39m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 99¢ $63 39m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 99¢ $22 39m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 99¢ $32 39m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 99¢ $7 39m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 99¢ $4 39m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 99¢ $67 39m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 99¢ $2 39m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 99¢ $353 39m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 99¢ $28 39m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 99¢ $15 39m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 99¢ $8 39m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 99¢ $33 40m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 99¢ $23 40m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 99¢ $383 40m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 99¢ $297 40m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 99¢ $196 40m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 99¢ $33 40m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 99¢ $161 40m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 99¢ $22 40m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 99¢ $9 40m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-9.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 216 +0.7% -8.9% 95% 3% -8.1%
≤30d 225 +0.6% -9.0% 95% 3% -8.1%
≤90d 225 +0.6% -9.0% 95% 3% -8.1%
all 225 +0.6% -9.0% 95% 3% -8.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover483.6 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.0% 3% -8.1%
10% -17.7% 3% -16.9%
15% ← realistic here -25.6% 1% -24.9%
20% -32.9% 0% -32.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records