Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:42:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D4
0xd489…9b90
crypto · 226 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$94 +13%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$75 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$75
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses115 / 111
Open positions0
Markets (closed)226 / 226
History coverage5d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day68.1
Drawdown44%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 226 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$15
7 days+$75
14 days+$75
30 days+$75
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$7 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$16 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$16 +74%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$75
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-13.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 226 -4.4% -13.5% 51% 50% +0.2%
≤30d 226 -4.4% -13.5% 51% 50% +0.2%
≤90d 226 -4.4% -13.5% 51% 50% +0.2%
all 226 -4.4% -13.5% 51% 50% +0.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover68.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.5% 50% +0.2%
10% ← realistic here -21.8% 50% -9.4%
15% -29.3% 49% -18.1%
20% -36.3% 49% -26.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 349 history records