Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:24:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D4
0xd48e…1d61
crypto · 56 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,086 +55%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,097 · open −$11
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,097
Unrealized−$11
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses24 / 29
Open positions3
Markets (closed)53 / 56
History coverage1d
Avg bet$35
Trades / day283.1
Drawdown38%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 53 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,097
7 days+$1,097
14 days+$1,097
30 days+$1,097
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-97%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-97%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-97%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $62 $0 −$62 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $157 $0 −$157 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $96 $0 −$96 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $68 +$158 +233%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $23 +$37 +163%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $47 +$205 +440%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $62 +$54 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $204 +$513 +251%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$6 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $117 +$79 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $102 −$96 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$24 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$8 +398%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$3 -22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +51%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$19 +37%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$30 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $162 −$157 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $46 −$45 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$69 +1346%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $32 +$86 +265%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $36 −$9 -24%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$20 +130%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$19 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $65 −$62 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $83 +$200 +242%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $36 +$26 +71%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $73 +$89 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$33 +344%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $121 +$34 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $44 −$21 -47%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,086
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $3 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $6 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $0 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $6 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET SELL Down 80¢ $23 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET SELL Down 80¢ $17 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET SELL Down 80¢ $20 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET SELL Down 80¢ $16 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $0 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET SELL Down 80¢ $13 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET SELL Down 80¢ $16 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET SELL Down 80¢ $4 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET SELL Down 80¢ $16 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET SELL Down 80¢ $16 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET SELL Down 80¢ $16 9m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)+19.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 53 +31.8% +19.2% 45% 36% +42.8%
≤30d 53 +31.8% +19.2% 45% 36% +42.8%
≤90d 53 +31.8% +19.2% 45% 36% +42.8%
all 53 +31.8% +19.2% 45% 36% +42.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover283.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +19.2% 36% +42.8%
10% ← realistic here +7.8% 34% +29.1%
15% -2.6% 32% +16.7%
20% -12.1% 30% +5.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.33 · official $5.71 · 332 history records