Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:01:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D4
0xd4ac…81a4
crypto · 1517 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$165 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$165 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$165
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses921 / 624
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1545 / 1517
History coverage74d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day33.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1545 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$83
7 days−$103
14 days−$117
30 days−$145
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -149%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$4 -123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Illinois State Redbirds vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$80
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-13.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 506 -9.4% -18.0% 60% 56% -18.9%
≤30d 1140 -5.2% -14.3% 63% 58% -14.4%
≤90d 1545 -4.1% -13.3% 60% 52% -12.8%
all 1545 -4.1% -13.3% 60% 52% -12.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover33.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.3% 52% -12.8%
10% ← realistic here -21.6% 43% -21.2%
15% -29.2% 28% -28.8%
20% -36.1% 18% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records