trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 17% | 0% | -10.8% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 17% | 0% | -10.8% |
| ≤90d | 6 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 17% | 0% | -10.8% |
| all | 28 | +3.2% | -6.7% | 46% | 11% | -8.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -6.7% | 11% | -8.7% |
| 10% | -15.6% | 7% | -17.4% |
| 15% | -23.7% | 0% | -25.4% |
| 20% | -31.2% | 0% | -32.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 92¢ | 91¢ | $48 | $47 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $71 | $0 | -0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 14 | $34 | −$1 | -4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 13 | $16 | +$1 | +9% |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | Jun 13 | $52 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 13 | $66 | −$4 | -6% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 11 | $57 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-03? | Dec 11 | $7 | +$2 | +25% |
| Panthers vs. 49ers | Nov 26 | $5 | +$2 | +32% |
| Miami vs. Virginia Tech | Nov 21 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? | Nov 21 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Fulham win on 2025-11-22? | Nov 19 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Nov 19 | $5 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Oct 24 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election? | Oct 23 | $47 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series? | Oct 22 | $37 | +$6 | +16% |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series? | Oct 19 | $5 | $0 | +10% |
| Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion? | Sep 24 | $41 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31? | Aug 13 | $4 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Aug 07 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series? | Aug 06 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump meet with Lula da Silva in 2025? | Aug 04 | $3 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration in 2025? | Aug 03 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Aug 01 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series? | Jul 30 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025? | Jul 30 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | Jul 29 | $41 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% in 2025? | Jul 29 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jul 29 | $41 | $0 | +0% |