trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -33.4% | -39.7% | 0% | 0% | -20.7% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -33.4% | -39.7% | 0% | 0% | -20.7% |
| ≤90d | 3 | -33.4% | -39.7% | 0% | 0% | -20.7% |
| all | 3 | -33.4% | -39.7% | 0% | 0% | -20.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -39.7% | 0% | -20.7% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -45.5% | 0% | -28.3% |
| 15% | -50.8% | 0% | -35.2% |
| 20% | -55.6% | 0% | -41.6% |