Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:39:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D5
0xd507…bcbf
crypto · 1225 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$578 +15%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$580 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$13
Realized+$580
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses559 / 546
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1105 / 1225
History coverage6d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day518.7
Drawdown63%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 1105 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$496
7 days+$580
14 days+$580
30 days+$580
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 42¢ 100¢ $4 $9 +$5 (+135%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 43¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+133%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Down 48¢ 24¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-49%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 61¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+63%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Up 68¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+47%)
Solana Up or Down - February 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 49¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+104%)
XRP Up or Down - February 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 48¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+108%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Up 74¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+35%)
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? Yes 18¢ 8¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-58%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $0 −$7 -2948%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +93%
Solana Up or Down - February 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +449%
XRP Up or Down - February 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$1 -1345%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +856%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$4 -148%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,572
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $3 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+2.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1105 +13.1% +2.3% 51% 50% +8.2%
≤30d 1105 +13.1% +2.3% 51% 50% +8.2%
≤90d 1105 +13.1% +2.3% 51% 50% +8.2%
all 1105 +13.1% +2.3% 51% 50% +8.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover518.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +2.3% 50% +8.2%
10% ← realistic here -7.4% 49% -2.2%
15% -16.4% 48% -11.6%
20% -24.6% 47% -20.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13.34 · official $12.26 · 3500 history records