Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:06:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D5
0xd529…c47c
crypto · 561 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$268 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$269 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$75
Realized+$269
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses342 / 214
Open positions5
Markets (closed)556 / 561
History coverage29d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day82.8
Drawdown31%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 5 History 556 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$26
7 days+$38
14 days+$42
30 days+$269
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 10? Yes 81¢ 100¢ $14 $17 +$3 (+24%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET Up 89¢ 98¢ $14 $16 +$2 (+11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET Up 90¢ 94¢ $15 $15 +$1 (+4%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET Up 95¢ 98¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+3%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5PM ET Down 89¢ 100¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+12%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET Up 95¢ 100¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+5%)
XRP Up or Down on June 13? Up 80¢ 82¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+3%)
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 10? No 98¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+2%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET Down 78¢ 2¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-97%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$2 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$2 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET Jun 13 $14 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET Jun 13 $29 −$12 -40%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$13 -45%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$2 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +13%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET Jun 13 $14 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET Jun 13 $13 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$2 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$3 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $14 +$3 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $14 +$2 +17%
XRP Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $14 +$2 +13%
Solana Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $15 +$2 +13%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$15 -88%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$15 -78%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$268
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 19m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 21m
XRP Up or Down on June 13? BUY Up 80¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 36m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $3 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 36m
XRP Up or Down on June 13? BUY Up 80¢ $1 36m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 194 +1.4% -8.2% 85% 35% -7.9%
≤30d 556 +0.8% -8.8% 62% 43% -2.9%
≤90d 556 +0.8% -8.8% 62% 43% -2.9%
all 556 +0.8% -8.8% 62% 43% -2.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover82.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.8% 43% -2.9%
10% ← realistic here -17.5% 34% -12.2%
15% -25.5% 31% -20.7%
20% -32.8% 30% -28.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $75.12 · official $75.12 (match) · 2915 history records