Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:17:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D5
0xd535…9fae
crypto · 90 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
+$1,970 +21%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,974 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$350
Realized+$1,974
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses78 / 48
Open positions6
Markets (closed)126 / 90
History coverage1d
Avg bet$104
Trades / day3397.0
Drawdown11%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 6 History 126 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,974
7 days+$1,974
14 days+$1,974
30 days+$1,974
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 83¢ 86¢ $77 $80 +$3 (+4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Up 58¢ 58¢ $74 $74 +$0 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Down 37¢ 42¢ $50 $55 +$5 (+11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 67¢ 72¢ $39 $42 +$3 (+7%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Up 55¢ 52¢ $25 $23 −$2 (-7%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Down 42¢ 48¢ $18 $21 +$3 (+16%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 72¢ 81¢ $15 $17 +$2 (+13%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 35¢ 28¢ $19 $15 −$3 (-18%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 22¢ 14¢ $19 $13 −$7 (-35%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 59¢ 69¢ $3 $3 +$1 (+18%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 40¢ 30¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-24%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 27¢ 18¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-32%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$8 +9315%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$2 +8124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$52 +46682%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$13 +8759%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$49 +17215%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$31 +10308%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$95 +110458%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$6 +10609%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$30 +107798%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$134 -44085%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$52 +28706%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$290 +195147%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$16 +6493%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 5AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$40 +25136%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$240 +389742%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$6 +1727%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$30 -5552%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$35 +11497%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$200 +252301%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$14 +3774%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$46 +46051%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$7 +2670%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$10 +7902%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$293 +271688%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 11PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$17 +37197%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$2 +898%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$3 +3929%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 6AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$12 +6347%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 11PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$111 +58965%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$44 +99798%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$5 +1951%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$133 +238886%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$20 +8676%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$17 +66120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$42 +17862%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +235%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$11 +3582%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$4 +2573%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $177 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $340 −$8 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $53 −$3 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$13 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $359 −$19 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $39 −$4 -9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $29 +$1 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$179
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $7 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $7 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $7 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $7 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $7 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $7 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $7 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $0 1m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)+481.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 126 +542.3% +481.1% 62% 43% -6.5%
≤30d 126 +542.3% +481.1% 62% 43% -6.5%
≤90d 126 +542.3% +481.1% 62% 43% -6.5%
all 126 +542.3% +481.1% 62% 43% -6.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3397.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +481.1% 43% -6.5%
10% ← realistic here +425.5% 38% -15.4%
15% +374.7% 33% -23.6%
20% +328.2% 33% -31.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $349.78 · official $349.58 (match) · 3500 history records