Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:13:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

D5
0xd54a…1223
crypto · 114 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$488 +12%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$488 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$488
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses41 / 73
Est. fees paid−$44
Open positions0
Markets (closed)114 / 114
History coverage5d
Avg bet$36
Trades / day87.5
Drawdown62%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 0 History 114 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$53
7 days+$488
14 days+$488
30 days+$488
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo Connecticut Sun 51¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 18¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Natus Vincere 34¢ 0¢ $114 $0 −$114 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Detroit Tigers 16¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Los Angeles Dodgers 10¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Over 46¢ 0¢ $101 $0 −$101 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $54 −$53 -98%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $21 −$10 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$21 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$10 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $37 +$95 +257%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $42 −$40 -95%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $87 +$155 +179%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $28 −$26 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$19 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$4 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $57 +$22 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -95%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $102 −$101 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $29 −$28 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $30 −$28 -95%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $117 −$114 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $76 −$25 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $19 −$18 -95%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 11 $42 −$40 -96%
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo Jun 11 $32 −$32 -99%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $82 −$37 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 11 $27 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $37 +$18 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 11 $37 +$17 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 11 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 11 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 11 $52 +$13 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 11 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $79 −$79 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$4 +19%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $195 +$75 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 11 $32 +$106 +335%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 11 $25 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 10 $26 −$25 -96%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $61 +$63 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 10 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 10 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 10 $52 −$27 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 10 $21 −$21 -100%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $60 +$55 +91%
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $26 +$23 +89%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $44 +$81 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 10 $52 +$95 +181%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 57% −$119
sports 38% +$486
other 5% +$121
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Detroit Tigers 12¢ $11 59m
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Chicago White Sox 2¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Down 80¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $10 1h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Detroit Tigers 18¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Up 66¢ $98 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $21 1h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Detroit Tigers 16¢ $21 1h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 4¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $22 1h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays SELL New York Yankees 99¢ $241 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET SELL Down 52¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET SELL Up 56¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $21 1h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 36¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-18.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 114 -9.5% -18.1% 36% 35% +1.7%
≤30d 114 -9.5% -18.1% 36% 35% +1.7%
≤90d 114 -9.5% -18.1% 36% 35% +1.7%
all 114 -9.5% -18.1% 36% 35% +1.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover87.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.1% 35% +1.7%
10% ← realistic here -25.9% 31% -8.1%
15% -33.1% 29% -16.9%
20% -39.7% 24% -25.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 503 history records