trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 4 | +13.4% | +2.6% | 75% | 50% | +0.6% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -1.2% | -10.6% | 67% | 33% | -12.6% |
| all | 11 | -0.9% | -10.3% | 64% | 27% | -12.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.3% | 27% | -12.0% |
| 10% | -18.9% | 27% | -20.4% |
| 15% | -26.8% | 27% | -28.1% |
| 20% | -33.9% | 18% | -35.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? | No | 77¢ | 76¢ | $770 | $765 | −$5 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $430 | +$170 | +40% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $74 | +$80 | +109% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May? | Jun 01 | $575 | +$25 | +4% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | May 30 | $139 | −$139 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April? | May 17 | $744 | +$56 | +8% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Apr 25 | $74 | −$74 | -100% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March? | Apr 05 | $813 | +$7 | +1% |
| Hawks vs. Celtics | Mar 27 | $945 | −$945 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Celtics | Mar 26 | $528 | +$672 | +127% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | Mar 23 | $40 | $0 | +1% |
| Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclones | Mar 22 | $990 | $0 | +0% |